Quote from Jack_Larkin:
Hey Jason,
I'm interested in the new US Dollar index product... but:
Few quick questions:
How did FXCM come up with the weighting on their USDOLLAR index product?
Related to the first question, why didn't FXCM just use the weighting common to the US dollar index futures? (DX) As traded on various futures exchanges?
Why is the spread on said index 0.5-1 pip higher than the blend of spreads on the underlying components? (ie, people can build a synthetic position on that index at a lower costs by using currency pairs..)
Is the index considered a currency product or a CFD? Will my order be instantly executed with FXCM or will FXCM first need to settle the underlying positions before confirming my position price?
Thanks in advance!
-Jack
Hi Jack,
Thanks for the questions and happy to help.
FXCM looked at two things when creating the index: against which currencies does most USD volume occur and which areas of the world are most important in terms of trade with the US. When looking at these two questions, we thought the current currency futures index to be outdated.
The top currencies in the foreign exchange market by turnover against the US Dollar are the Euro, Japanese Yen, British Pound, and Australia Dollar. The Swiss Franc has about 1% more turnover than the Australian Dollar according to the BIS triennial survey released in 2010. The reason we included the Australian Dollar rather than the Swiss Franc is part of the second point. We wanted to make the index more representative of the current importance of geographic regions. The existing US Dollar Index (USDX) traded on the ICE futures exchange was created back in the 1970's when Europe was of much greater importance in terms of economic size and trade. It's no surprise then that the USDX is very euro-centric with nearly 78% of the basket being made up of European currencies (EUR, GBP, SEK, and CHF). However, much has changed since the 70's with Asian economies rising in importance. Giving a larger weighting to the JPY and AUD gives better reflects the rising importance of Asian economies and increased exchange versus the US Dollar. So that's some of the methodology behind the composition.
At the outset, the product will be a CFD. Our goal is to eventually have it executed via NDD whereby the trades are immediately offset with the liquidity providers, but it will take some time to have the technical abilities setup. The index basket has been rolled out to FXCM Asia in Hong Kong and FXCM UK. FXCM Australia will likely be next in the weeks ahead with FXCM US to follow sometime in the future.
We anticipate the spread on the Dow Jones FXCM US Dollar Index basket to possibly be one of the lowest we offer once fully launched. This would be a result of the large amount of liquidity among the 4 pairs that comprise the index, and also because volatility in the index basket tends to be very low. The average daily range for index basket since being launched in early January has been about 50-85 pips with the range increasing to only around 110 pips at its highest during last week's volatile market conditions. I'm not sure when we can expect this spread to come down, but I would guess it could occur after it's launched globally across all FXCM entities and trading volume in the index basket itself picks up. We also think lower volatility will mean a better product for our traders to trade since high amounts of volatility often translate into lower profitability for retail traders.
PS. I've been following your thread over at forexfactory and noticed you have to deal with a lot of crap from anti-FXCM people.. Don't let them bother you, keep up the good work, I think you're doing a great job.
Thanks!
-Jason