For most CV is just another flu but...

smallfil said:
14% will require some hospitalization but, only 2.5%, the most severe will perish.
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You are way more pessimistic than i am.

If no measures are taken then, I calculate:

Around 4% will require hospital (10 million).
0.6% will perish (over 1million).

Your figures (14% and 2.5%) would mean over 30 million in hospital and over 5 million dead.
 
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southall said:
You are way more pessimistic than i am.

If no measures are taken then, I calculate:

Around 4% will require hospital (10 million).
0.6% will perish (over 1million).

Your figures (14% and 2.5%) would mean over 30 million in hospital and over 5 million dead.
More...

So far, the US with the most infections of 123,781 and 2,229 deaths which is 1.80%. If your figures are anywhere accurate, which you count in millions, US death would already be at 18,000 minimum. Twelve 12 companies hard at work developing a vaccine. In addition, the malaria drug Chloroquine has been proven effective in curing the Corona Virus victims with the most severe symptoms. Just because someone gets hospitalized does not mean they will remain in the hospital for a long period of time. Most Corona Virus victims survive and get back to normal. All Corona Virus victims who get better develop immunity meaning they do not get infected a 2nd time contrary to liberal media lies and cannot transmit the virus once, cured.
 
southall said:
You are way more pessimistic than i am.

If no measures are taken then, I calculate:

Around 4% will require hospital (10 million).
0.6% will perish (over 1million).

Your figures (14% and 2.5%) would mean over 30 million in hospital and over 5 million dead.
More...

You are pulling figures out of your ass. Where did you get your figures? Projections by political hacks out to sensationalize and panic everyone? None of it proven accurate, none of it even close to reality.
 
smallfil said:
You are pulling figures out of your ass. Where did you get your figures? Projections by political hacks out to sensationalize and panic everyone? None of it proven accurate, none of it even close to reality.
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10 million needing hospital and 1 million dead are conservative numbers if 240 million get infected.

Lockdowns will mean we never get to 240 million infections.

240 million is not an outrageous number given that flu infects up to 60 million people a year in the US, and CV is much more contagious than flu.
 
dozu888 said:
this is what I meant by 'talking to a bunch of deaf and blind people'.... already laid out why it's 200k death tops and you are still throwing around 1 million death.

but let me give you that 1 million, I also just made a post that the panic drag on the GDP alone is already equivalent to 1 million death.

there is always an 'easy solution'... you put everything in numbers, either a>b or a<b.

easy.
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Dozu— since you are very adamant about your ‘predictions’ -which would be very easy to ‘validate’ or ‘disproved’ in several months — would you at least promise us that you will vanish from ET if you are proven wrong? In case you are proven correct - I promise to hail you the KING888
 
I hope not but I think it will be 200-300k people. I am not seeing the huge jumps here in Florida, maybe the heat maybe not, maybe not enough testing etc. hopefully the actual deaths does not jump as it gets through its cycle. Awareness, social distancing may help tremendously in flattening the curve. Our Epicenter is NYC and I’m thinking those huge numbers that we are seeing there might be contained to that area region. Just saying.
 
dozu888 said:
You made things up. Wuhan has 3000 dead on 10 million population. Do the math again.

wuhan is already a full population spread. Patient zero was 2 months before the lock down.
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Read this:

https://www.elitetrader.com/et/threads/finding-important-information-about-china.342413/

https://nypost.com/2020/03/28/shipm...questions-about-chinas-coronavirus-reporting/

You came from there and told us many times the Government there made up numbers to fit their agenda and now you are quoting the official data?
 
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