Quote from Pekelo:
In the maintime, we are going to have a dragon watch on the daily cash chart. We just had a doubletop and falling, the Height is 26 pts, so the Failure zone should be around 1150-13= 1137 (cash) which is also the SMA 9 line with a possibility to bounce. Tomorrow will tell if we have a Failure with a 3rd top or not...
Quote from Pekelo:
Taking a quick break from vacation. Posted on Monday...
On Tuesday early morning we bounced from 1132 ES which is 1137 cash. Then I mentioned that we might repeat it during RTH which we did and the market was at 1137ish just before 10 am when breaking news dipped it 5 pts below the Failure zone, but almost immediately recovered.
So I mentioned that the dragon pattern was in play until we reach the Failure + Height => 3rd top or we go below one more time the 1132 cash low.
I was expecting to reach the 3rd top on a Wendesday, which was foolish of me, it took the T-day to do so. The real question was if the math would be done from the theoretical (1137) or the real (1132) Failure.
Well, on Thursday (while I was driving 8 hours in close to zero visibility, pouring rain) the market had its expected 3rd top at 1157 which was only 1 point away from the 1132+26=1158 using the real Faulire for the math.
And oh boy, was it shortable... The market dropped a nice 20 pts from there, but again, the dragon pattern doesn't say how big the drop is going to be.
So for all practical purposes the dragon pattern played out as expected and I am back to vacationing and waiting for a little sunshine...
See you next week....
Quote from Pekelo:
Taking a quick break from vacation. Posted on Monday...
On Tuesday early morning we bounced from 1132 ES which is 1137 cash. Then I mentioned that we might repeat it during RTH which we did and the market was at 1137ish just before 10 am when breaking news dipped it 5 pts below the Failure zone, but almost immediately recovered.
So I mentioned that the dragon pattern was in play until we reach the Failure + Height => 3rd top or we go below one more time the 1132 cash low.
I was expecting to reach the 3rd top on a Wendesday, which was foolish of me, it took the T-day to do so. The real question was if the math would be done from the theoretical (1137) or the real (1132) Failure.
Well, on Thursday (while I was driving 8 hours in close to zero visibility, pouring rain) the market had its expected 3rd top at 1157 which was only 1 point away from the 1132+26=1158 using the real Faulire for the math.
And oh boy, was it shortable... The market dropped a nice 20 pts from there, but again, the dragon pattern doesn't say how big the drop is going to be.
So for all practical purposes the dragon pattern played out as expected and I am back to vacationing and waiting for a little sunshine...
See you next week....
Quote from Decel:
NQ's lagging and holding the 2 others' run.