ES Journal Archive (2009 - 2010)

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I think 250points move since we already got 250points. there is no circuit breaker for rally, our president Obama will be happy to see SURGE 500point+, SEC too, ...
I do not konw when, I am fully loaded for the upside explosion

Quote from petty1978:

So the bulk of the 500 points will come this afternoon?
 
tight your stop loss do not forget. anything can happen in the market, a kind reminder

Quote from trader198:

I think 250points move since we already got 250points. there is no circuit breaker for rally, our president Obama will be happy to see SURGE 500point+, SEC too, ...
I do not konw when, I am fully loaded for the upside explosion
 
Quote from NoDoji:

Have a good long weekend all, I'm positioning myself to the outta town side!


:cool:

Guys... now that NoDoji is gone let's build a fort or something...

With all of this (awesome) volatility it is easy to forget that memorial day weekend typically kicks off a slow season in the markets until labor day.

As I posted before - I (still) believe that we get a triple bottom on the daily... with the 3rd touch around 1050 coming in near contract expiration.

Overall ...I think we get 3 months of up and down on declining volume/volatility... with extremes at 1050 and 1150..ish ... basically swinging up and down around 1100. This would create a HUGE year-long HS pattern easily visible on the weekly chart.

Of course we might have another flash crash or flash meltup but I don't think anything will stick until Autumn.

Good luck all - I'm tired after buying dips since late last night... see ya on Tuesday.
 
Quote from Lawrence Chan:

PPT trying to contain the selloff to at most 1020 and definitely not lowered than 1000 within May.

But sometimes, such actions have unintentional consequence ... =)

Hey LC nice to see you back, hope all is well. :)
 
Quote from trader198:

"yesterday you fooled me, now I do not want you fool me again, I get to hold, it is oversold".

Or they'll just bail before 2:45pm EST

Disclosure: I'm neither short nor long. I am just in Petty's camp that this market isn't going anywhere yet with conviction anytime soon. In this market, I believe you buy the biggest red bar, and you sell the biggest green bar. Both longs and short are on pins and needles. That's how I'm playing it until she doesn't work.

Given the gap up in the futures market, you would have expected a face-ripping rally off the open, we got none of that. However, I still like that pretty IHS that projects to 1115, and I also still believe we get 1150 this option cycle for the longer term HnS. Will those two pretty formations play out? you'll have to ask somebody smarter than I am.
 
Quote from wave:

Two concepts to be mastered:

1. Trend Trading = holding position to catch the full move towards the air pockets created by the market makers. This will take a few probe trades to catch the reversal wave.

2. Counter Trend = buying or selling against where the market won't go.


The second creates the first.

When one has understood this then the market is under their thumb...

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nYYTLJ8YHi4

you have summed up ES day trading in a nutshell and I won´t even ask to see your trades.

Two directions and only two plays.
One for the trend and one against.
 
Quote from trader198:

I think 250points move since we already got 250points. there is no circuit breaker for rally, our president Obama will be happy to see SURGE 500point+, SEC too, ...
I do not konw when, I am fully loaded for the upside explosion

VIX is currently too weak and if that did happen VIX would spike and continue to rise and thats horrible for short term upside, 950 would be seen in weeks...so I hope your not at your computer praying for that! STOP! Ha
 
*Lets look at the next 5-10 trading days*

Here is another way to look at what is happening in the ES right now:

[UNTIL OIL] hits $80, this bullish undercurrent will keep the ES from dropping and dropping...watch CL or QM and look for $80 to be reached, when it does, IF 1032.50 on the ES has not been revisited between now and then watch that level as a downside target.
 
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