ES Journal Archive (2009 - 2010)

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Quote from volente_00:

I think they really want a right shoulder between 1130-1150 ish for the longer term.

1100 for today and 1130 by next week.

In that regard, yes, it's another shell game played over and over and over by the same idiots. It's called a "double-bottom" and ya should have known better. :)
 
Quote from schizo:

1100 for today and 1130 by next week.

In that regard, yes, it's another shell game played over and over and over by the same idiots. It's called a "double-bottom" and ya should have known better. :)

Hey Schizo,

So you have no technical signals that are showing lower prices or a retest of lows?

The bottom 'for now" is in?
 
Quote from jjf:

what odds will you give me that if you guys make enough predictions, someone is bound to be correct at least once.

I am stating specific numbers and likely scenarios and have been consistent in my analysis...I have real reasons for my numbers and if they are wrong they are wrong and new numbers present themselves...

...furthermore,these are not predictions "for entertainment and shootin the Sh*t" they are actually guides for my larger swing trades...so IF I am wrong in my analysis, I loose real money.
 
Quote from ammo:

end of month marks dont say anything about what happened recently,they just go into the books and the fund managers look good,for their records, their clients, thier bonuses 1185 to 1085 is about a 9% loss, 1185 to 1107 is about 7%,just a better end of month mark
how about projecting out to tommorrows close,if we are to get to that 1100-1110 area,how much of that push is planned for tommorrow and if they want to mark it there,where will they stall it today so they can accumulate,at what time of day will we hit our highs so they can unload for a profit while still preserving a good mark for the close, they ran it up in after hours while the paper was lite and the market easier to manipulate,what about tonite, where are the stops up above,we need to take those out too
 
Quote from petty1978:

Hey Schizo,

So you have no technical signals that are showing lower prices or a retest of lows?

The bottom 'for now" is in?
My take is that we shall grind up to 1130 and then chop between 1090 and 1130 for another week or two before heading lower. All in all, I don't expect this market to break a new low within the next 4-5 weeks.
 
Quote from ammo:

how about projecting out to tommorrows close,if we are to get to that 1100-1110 area,how much of that push is planned for tommorrow and if they want to mark it there,where will they stall it today so they can accumulate,at what time of day will we hit our highs so they can unload for a profit while still preserving a good mark for the close, they ran it up in after hours while the paper was lite and the market easier to manipulate,what about tonite, where are the stops up above,we need to take those out too

As for me, I have larger swing trade guides that are always analyzed through EOD data to predict my swings.

I have Intra-day signals that fire all day long...so my intra-day trading has no bias up or down and any discretionary trading I do is swing oriented from EOD data.

But to those that accurately do what you spoke about I have much respect for, because I always found it too unpredictable to "nail" and produce trading models around.

Do you trade around understanding "likely" scenarios you spoke about? If so, I would love to hear more about your analysis if that is something you would like to share [in part] with me [if you already have shared with this forum in the past].

Thanks Ammo.
 
Quote from schizo:

My take is that we shall grind up to 1130 and then chop between 1090 and 1130 for another week or two before heading lower. All in all, I don't expect this market to break a new low within the next 4-5 weeks.

Does this analysis influence your intra-day trading at all?
 
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