ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

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DOW30 right on TL support, but I doubt there will be strength there as weekly histogram has already crossed its centreline whilst SPX's is just above it.

Apex, Spooztop where are you guys?! Hello! :)

<img src=http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/attachment.php?s=&postid=1963040>
 

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Quote from bighog:

riskymove

This thread is not the place for telling others you are a fan. I left the chatroom and moved over to the index side and i agree it was doing better than a couple months earlier. Then a couple of the regulars got into it and many got fed up and left. I was bewildered myself, but look internet chat is nothing to worry about. The regular chat room was NOT a trading chat room and i gave that up first.

The ES JOURNAL thread is doing a fine job for trading info and since i am new there i did indeed spend some time explaining my strategy and some tactics. If you can not handle that please do us all a favor and do not be rude to Buy1Sell2 by complaining in a trading thread. Show some respect.

Da Hoggie, <a href="http://www.sweetim.com/s.asp?im=gen&ref=11" target="_blank"><img src="http://content.sweetim.com/sim/cpie/emoticons/000201C3.gif" border=0 ></a>

Riskymove, now that you pinged my memory i seem to remember you were the one that caused the problem. My, my, can you imagine that?

I will not answer you again in this thread, take it somewhere else please.

My my - maybe if you had any idea of how many people were in the thread BEFORE you came around and the banter about trading positions we had on a day to day basis you would realize it wasn't me that caused the issue, but you.

And come to think of it, I believe B1S2 even quoted you earlier today because you were once again badmouthing him or someone else - honestly I get tired of going back and looking.

Nevertheless if B1S2 asks me to leave I will never post here again. But I spent almost a YEAR everyday in the ET index futures chatroom, POSTING trades. Which still to this day, I have never seen you do. Did we occasionally engage in off subject discussion - Yes. But mostly we all posted trades, which in the end helped each and every one of us.

And you could never know this - but I still trade online with the guys that traded and posted the most in the index futures chat room - albeit on another venue. I guess if I really were the one that started the shit, they probably wouldn't care to talk to me day in and day out about trading either.

Not that I am a guru or will I ever be. All I try to do is make some $ trading, and learn what I can from those that care to give us a bit of info to sock away.
 
Quote from JSSPMK:

DOW30 right on TL support, but I doubt there will be strength there as weekly histogram has already crossed its centreline whilst SPX's is just above it.

That is one scary looking chart! Here's one possible scenario, which would end in a final death plunge before the election.

<img src=http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/attachment.php?s=&postid=1963144>
 

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JSS, wouldn't a centerline cross on the Dow be expected since price has dropped so much? I don't see that as bearish (at least on the chart you posted) since the downward move that accompanies a "histo bump rollover and cross" has already taken place. I don't perceive it as bullish either, I just don't see it signaling anything I guess.

For my nightly analysis, the larger trend remains down, but if I were short ES on a positional basis I wouldn't keep those stops too far away. We're running into some support levels and the larger timeframes 360, 240, 120 show bullish triple divergence on the histogram.

Not much I can say about NQ except I have an inkling that if it can hold todays lows for the first couple hours tomorrow morning I think we make another move up (wave C for you EW guys) though Mondays highs over the next few days. However holding todays lows is a BIG IF.

ES 240-min chart showing potential 5-wave move down into support areas with triple divergence:
 

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Quote from tommymoose:

JSS, wouldn't a centerline cross on the Dow be expected since price has dropped so much? I don't see that as bearish (at least on the chart you posted) since the downward move that accompanies a "histo bump rollover and cross" has already taken place. I don't perceive it as bullish either, I just don't see it signaling anything I guess.

For my nightly analysis, the larger trend remains down, but if I were short ES on a positional basis I wouldn't keep those stops too far away. We're running into some support levels and the larger timeframes 360, 240, 120 show bullish triple divergence on the histogram.

Not much I can say about NQ except I have an inkling that if it can hold todays lows for the first couple hours tomorrow morning I think we make another move up (wave C for you EW guys) though Mondays highs over the next few days. However holding todays lows is a BIG IF.

ES 240-min chart showing potential 5-wave move down into support areas with triple divergence:

That's what I am thinking, support may well come in today to create a bounce, but after that bounce completes we drop, that's basically what weekly's allignment with monthly means to me. A bounce is very possible, if these patterns were always as straightforward as indicator crossing the line & price moving in same direction we'd all be rich :)
 
Quote from JSSPMK:

That's what I am thinking, support may well come in today to create a bounce, but after that bounce completes we drop, that's basically what weekly's allignment with monthly means to me. A bounce is very possible, if these patterns were always as straightforward as indicator crossing the line & price moving in same direction we'd all be rich :)

Whether 33.25 gets taken out today along with 32.00 is anyones guess, although 33.25/ 32.00 has some power to it.
The next level after that is 26.00.

I agree with you that this puppy has a longer term negative bias.

regards
f9
 
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