ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

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Quote from iloveoptions:

Mins,

I like what you said in your third paragraph and I hope it works for you on a consistent basis. Please share with us some of your trades in realtime. I always learn from anyone who employs a successful and consistent strategy. Peace.

Thanks mate, however i am not here to post trades anymore. I am not claiming i am a great trader - i am simply here to make money like the rest of you.

As for sharing methodology - well i can give you the gist of what i do but without a real understanding of price action and the tape it will be meaningless.

I feel i have a good edge with my current system - i like to back-test all my discretionary systems to ensure i have confidence when placing real time trades.
I also play position trades in a side swing account which involves much larger stops.


I have 3 day trading plays which i use on a consistent basis:
- i play range expansions
- price actions scalps

My main play however is simply following where the trend is going. The easiest way to describe this is to think in terms of ABC wave - i simply try to catch BC portion of a wave.

My entries are primarily based on price action and then the tape, then volume. Each of which i have spend many many 100s of hours sorting through past data to make sense of what price is telling me.

I average roughly 3-4 trades per day if that. Again this is my simple system but in my eyes is very complex as it is based on certain rules and understanding of overall picture.

Again to reiterate i am not a big trader, i usually trade 8-10 lots - for real advice i think we should be looking towards the big boys like Spectre and Wave.
 
A system that incorporates a 2 point stop and is a losing system, could very well be a winning system with a 1 pt stop. You don't need a high winning percentage to be profitable. This is common sense.
The casino example is not a good analogy for trading. The closest game would be poker(specifically no limit) though where you are not playing against the house, but rather playing against other players with the house taking commissions.
 
Quote from Buy1Sell2:

A system that incorporates a 2 point stop and is a losing system, could very well be a winning system with a 1 pt stop. You don't need a high winning percentage to be profitable. This is common sense.
The casino example is not a good analogy for trading. The closest game would be poker(specifically no limit) though where you are not playing against the house, but rather playing against other players with the house taking commissions.

Stop levels may well change the expectancy, and stop/profit levels are a part of the system itself.

Nevertheless, a losing system is one that has negative expectancy, and no money management scheme can turn a losing system into a winner, period. :) :
 
Quote from tommymoose:

Due for a retrace... short NQ 1965 stop 1966.50... target 1961 or lower

Out 1961.25... quick and easy... could go lower but ya gotta go for the low hanging fruit
 
Long NQ 1957.75... stop 1956.50

stopped out.... if they wanted to defend the days lows it would have been there.... IMO we break through the lows now... orrrrr is it a giant wedge (on ES)???
 
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