ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

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Quote from gwac:

and historically how do bonds do in a high inflation low growth situation (stagflation)

Serious question I do not have the answer?

The way I see it, other than for "flight to safety" concerns, yields should be rising not falling. So other than the fear factor, it's hard for an investor to accept 2.5% when they could be doing much better with stocks over the long run. But I suppose anything is possible in todays markets.
 
I just do not see the pos risk/reward of bonds right now. Inflation is to much of ? mark right now.

Quote from iloveoptions:

The way I see it, other than for "flight to safety" concerns, yields should be rising not falling. So other than the fear factor, it's hard for an investor to accept 2.5% when they could be doing much better with stocks over the long run. But I suppose anything is possible in todays markets.
 
Quote from jagmot:


RSI on most of my charts I see is severly oversold. Not my usual trade so I'm just going long 1 over the weekend at 1360.25. Catastrophic stop at 1322

Ok see my RSI setup, added 2 long at 1359.75.
Have my catastrophic stop at 1322
Once the market opens, my stop will be at 1347.
Targets 1370, 1386, and 1393.
 
Quote from Buy1Sell2:

Capital management is the only true edge in trading. The trader who loses the least when wrong and lets the winners run will be amongst the most successful traders. This is the edge that traders need to seek. An entry can be made anywhere and with the right protective stop, the trader will still be profitable. Now, put the chart together right and add good entries and exits and it only sweetens the pot. 2008 is proving to be one of my best years using this philosophy and I intend to continue so if the markets will allow. Let's get back to posting trades and ES related analysis and try to down others less. Thanks--

:)

Buy1Sell2 have you ever thought about automating your strategy - it seems very simple and based on divergences and mostly concerned with capital management.

I cannot agree that an entry can be made anywhere but you obviously have a lot of experience with this system.

Would be interesting to see if you have a edge with this system if back-tested.

I personally have back tested many simple longer time frame systems which involve divergences and trend following for entry with very wide stops and tight capital management - most perform badly over a 10 year period.
However, one very simple system which basically used your philosophy of 'enter anywhere' (well only if entry was with the trend and signal was given) did perform well on paper but barely could exceed the Buy and Hold Return for the last 10 years.

Just curious to see what the results of your system would be if we could back-test it.

Good trading
 
Chop chop chop is the name of the game. Back to 80 is my bet.
Oil is coming off.



Quote from volente_00:

What's a rule of 10 ?


:confused:


time for some 67 to 47 action soon
 
Quote from volente_00:


time for some 67 to 47 action soon

For purpose of journal integrity, I take this to mean that you have a limit sell order in at 1367.00 with a stop at 1370.00 and a target of 1347.00. Is that correct?
 
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