What happened in the S&P futures yesterday was most likely a reaction to oil price, oil spiked probably on the rumours, at least it looks that way. Now the smoke's cleared it turns out to be fishermen's ship seized in Iranian waters, in fact it is most likely fishermen-spies for the British MI5, they have been contracting fishermen since donkey's years to obtain information. But since these actions from Iran could still be seen as a potential conflict then oil may still rise, according to most that have an opinion on this in the press. I personally do not know what to say about this situation with oil, one thing comes to mind that if it continues to rise, then my outlook on the ES's hourly chart might become more valid - bearishness confirmed by this freaky action yesterday, also I wasn't too keen on the 240 chart. My position that I decided to carry into today...well, I didn't sell out, although theoretically I should have, but I thought about it for a while, my 1408 Long can offset the 1438.25 one, even if ES drops quite a bit lower. Question is how low I would be willing to allow it to get, before I close both of them & accept failure? Yesterday I was 'saved' by Apex's expectations of 1431 to come in as major support, it did & I am pretty happy about that it did. It depends on rest of the world now, if I see it tanking across the board I will be selling out of both positions not to allow profit in 1st position to become a loss by offsetting the 2nd position. I am not too keen on ES being still down after hours.
I have decided to hedge by shorting the DAX this morning.