Quote from ww_nyc:
Hi B1S2,
II can see how you enter the divergence trades. How do you decide the exit of your trades? What do you use to gauge when to exit? And when to take loss? I know you have mentioned that you usually don't put stop loss, if the market goes against you, you add to the position. However, what if the market goes against you 50 points, what if the market drop so much and produce big trough in histogram that clearly busted the divergence (when you are long.)? Do you have any criterions that tells that the trade is wrong, you will get out?
The ideal way to exit is to do so on divergence the other way. You would then enter a new trade coming back the other way as well. However, I have settled on a minimum of 12 points per contract for the short term trades and I like to obtain a minimum of 1000 points on my entire long term position (total, not per contract of course). Also, the key to trading is not to overextend. A trader can do this simply by setting a minimum amount of capital per contract which is way above the margin amount. For example, a prudent minimum amount per contract in the ES would be no less than 32k and I actually rarely ever let myself get even that extended. That way, I don't have to worry about setting stop losses etc. Also, I do not start with the maximum position , rather I work into it, so that when the market moves against me , even in a big fashion, I can add in. If reading this journal, it can be noticed that I have struggled with which smaller time frames to use and have come back to a happy medium between my weekly position trading and what I call very short term day trading. I also attempted to use stops which is not my style at all. Stops need to be set according to portfolio size--If you were all in on the first entry, then that is where a tight stop should be used. The money is in the bigger more general swings, not in the scalping in my view. In terms of when to get out? I try not to lose more than 2% of my entire portfolio on one idea.
Thanks for the nice comments and please feel free to post any time-B1S2
