Quote from spike500:
My system says it is impossible to me to go short at this moment.
It calculated that the trend still is long. Based on stats, the probability that the system is right is very high. So i follow my system blindly, even if i would think that we could go lower. Thinking has been replaced by following the system.
Following the system will give in long term the results as calculated by the stats.
EDIT: staying long doesnt' necessarily mean higher exit. It means that the risk/reward ratio is more favorable for a long at this moment.