ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

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Quote from fibaddict:

my humble prediction yesterday was that we crash and break the lows. However, that did not happen yesterday, and the selling towards the close yesterday to me was weak.

There is no climax flushout yet, IMO. We need that to happen, before the sharp rally ensues.

Hence, I still think we CRASH today, BREAKING THE LOWS, and putting quite possibly "THE" bottom.

Cheers.

There would certainly be a sick long setup if this occurs. I want to see a break of yesterdays lows on huge volume. My order is in.
 
Quote from fibaddict:

my humble prediction yesterday was that we crash and break the lows. However, that did not happen yesterday, and the selling towards the close yesterday to me was weak.

There is no climax flushout yet, IMO. We need that to happen, before the sharp rally ensues.

Hence, I still think we CRASH today, BREAKING THE LOWS, and putting quite possibly "THE" bottom.

Cheers.

IMHO the reason that did not happen yesterday is because of the FED intervention with the coordinated National 50bp rate cut.
we could still bounce a little due to oversold conditions but I don't see it going much higher. Any rally will be met with strong resistance selling pressure.
 
I was looking at the weekly charts, and I found another nice example of the dragon pattern. It is on all 3 indeces, best looking on the SPX. First bottom mid-March where it runs up 180 points (Height of the W), the second bottom is the beginning of July. The W failed 110 points from the 2nd bottom (a bit more than half of the height) and then promptly fell the required 180 points from the failure, where it rallied a nice 130+ points, back to the SMA. The last 3 red candles are not part of the pattern...
 

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this is going to be a CLIMAX FLUSHOUT with huge volatility, so I would recommend patience and not trying to get the bottom too fast.

dumb money was buying yesterday, thinking bottom! bottom!

dumb money must give up and liquidate everything, before smart money pushes it up.

JMHO.:)
 
for how many people is 1000 the magical line in the sand...

thats why market will oscillate through it.. repeatedly..blowing breakout players.

the market moves..............

once your inline with how it trades, your frontrunning the market.

974 next..
 
Quote from Pekelo:

I was looking at the weekly charts, and I found another nice example of the dragon pattern.

We are having one right now, should fall to 980ish...

Explanation: Height is 18-20 pts, failure was at 999...Projected fall to 980

Edit: at 83 now...

Got love my little dragon! :)
 
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