ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

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Quote from wave:

1028 break did not occur yesterday. All that thrust up and they put the brakes on right before 1028. Under 995 still long territory.

Classic valuation model at 6% yield, measured from the 2002 bottom, implies "fair value" at around 1030 for this year.

Those who trade long term yield based models will not buy until they see a discount of 10% (927), 20% (824). They are the final forces that defend stock prices before they go completely worthless.
 
Quote from fibaddict:

sticking to my prediction from yesterday.:)
Sorry for not remembering, but what was your prediction form yesterday? That once we went through the lows yesterday that we hit a short term bottom?
 
Quote from Pachoo:

Sorry for not remembering, but what was your prediction form yesterday? That once we went through the lows yesterday that we hit a short term bottom?

my humble prediction yesterday was that we crash and break the lows. However, that did not happen yesterday, and the selling towards the close yesterday to me was weak.

There is no climax flushout yet, IMO. We need that to happen, before the sharp rally ensues.

Hence, I still think we CRASH today, BREAKING THE LOWS, and putting quite possibly "THE" bottom.

Cheers.
 
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