ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

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"This is the only thing that has made me really money in the last few years. For example I buy/sell ES but hedge them with SPY options. SPY options are so liquid. I have a plan and when I stick by it I usally do OK. But, its based on weeks or months not minutes. I tried minutes but I have a full time job with a fair degree of responsibility. I couldn't apply the focus that minutes need.

My approach is pretty much directional, with benchmarks what to do when. It is not too complicated, simply because I don't want to mess with it and I do better when I don't and stick with the plan What I do often is if I am for example -800 or 800 deltas at the end of the trading day and that is the direction I think it will go, I'll buy or sell some YM (with stops) in off hours just to nuetralize deltas somewhat. Not going all the delta neutral though but to avoid the pain of a gap on market open but leaving the deltas positive or negative in the expectation of direction. Then in the morning, I'll take of the YM unless, the YMs gapped and trending in a profitable direction, I'll squeeze at least something out of the YMs (with stops), even though I lost for the day because the YMs are moving in the opposite direction of my net negative or positve deltas relative to the YM deltas But, the overall position has a directional bias and not trying to trade long/short YMs or ESs off of each other I am not that clever. "




SPY is awesome especially when it is moving, watching the tape is mind boggling in a fast market; like pac man chomping at the bid except those are real orders. Options are deep as well. Something to think about, its good that you hedge but you are trading es hedging with spy options and ym, sounds complicated to me and you can get some nasty divergences on ym and es. I am curious how you deal with that. Wouldn't it be easier to hedge with the same product line in a different strike or expiration. Good trading.
 
Quote from kinggyppo:

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SPY is awesome especially when it is moving, watching the tape is mind boggling in a fast market; like pac man chomping at the bid except those are real orders. Options are deep as well. Something to think about, its good that you hedge but you are trading es hedging with spy options and ym, sounds complicated to me and you can get some nasty divergences on ym and es. I am curious how you deal with that. Wouldn't it be easier to hedge with the same product line in a different strike or expiration. Good trading.

I appreciate the feedback. You know I was thinking along the same lines with YM over the weekend. The only reason I was doing trading the YM in the opposite direction was to minimize the impact from gaps. I could simply reduce my exposure to gaps simply by taking off some ES contracts overnight and then put them back on again the next morning gap or no gap. Thanks.
 
Not an index future, not a daytrade, and technicals represent only about 50% of the trades reasoning. That said, I consider you guys a little sub-board of ET that I'm much more familiar with and I was wondering if anyone had any input.

The stock is American Apparel - APP. From a fundamental point of view, I think this stock has a very large upside potential over the next year or two. Technically, its wedging down nicely right into multi-wave support I have. They report earnings tomorrow so that could be the catalyst to jump-start this thing. I'm long from 6.03 with stop at 5.22. First target around ~10. B1S2 let me know if this is too off-topic and I'll remove it.

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usd/jpy dropping below 109.74 supp,spus should follow,next support 109,usd.jpy broke to upside tue from 108.75,some retrace or rally is over? paulson said they will give no more money to freddie and fannie,yahoo finance news
 
08-11-08 07:47 AM

08-11-08 07:35 AM

Long initiation buystop entered @ 1294.50 5 contracts
Buy stop lowered to 1293.75
Filled ---Initial protective sell stop 1290.75
 
Quote from tommymoose:

Not an index future, not a daytrade, and technicals represent only about 50% of the trades reasoning. That said, I consider you guys a little sub-board of ET that I'm much more familiar with and I was wondering if anyone had any input.

The stock is American Apparel - APP. From a fundamental point of view, I think this stock has a very large upside potential over the next year or two. Technically, its wedging down nicely right into multi-wave support I have. They report earnings tomorrow so that could be the catalyst to jump-start this thing. I'm long from 6.03 with stop at 5.22. First target around ~10. B1S2 let me know if this is too off-topic and I'll remove it.

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Tommy - I know a little about APP. There were the darling of all the hedgies early last year due to the rock star persona of the founder. I think fundamentally the company has pretty nice room for growth but the have been plagued by some mgmt and accouting issues. They resolve this and it should rally pretty nicely and who know's what the possibility is. They report EPS after the close today - just be aware. Fwiw - my background was as an analyst/trader in retail space so I trade some of these stocks/options a decent bit.
 
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