ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

Status
Not open for further replies.
5 months to go up 900 dow points. 2 weeks to come down 600 points. I think I know why I only short this market even in an uptrend :eek: S2 your positionals must be up to 18-20 k!!
 
Quote from sosa1974:

5 months to go up 900 dow points. 2 weeks to come down 600 points. I think I know why I only short this market even in an uptrend :eek: S2 your positionals must be up to 18-20 k!!

yes!--but I try not to count it until I cover. Who knows, I might give it back!
 
Quote from Buy1Sell2:

yes!--but I try not to count it until I cover. Who knows, I might give it back!

True, you been right so far. Another 50-70 points and you got a nice gain! Hey, how did you come up with 1325 as the top. Saw a thread where you predicted this 3 months in advance? Just curious... don't have to answer it
 
Quote from sosa1974:

True, you been right so far. Another 50-70 points and you got a nice gain! Hey, how did you come up with 1325 as the top. Saw a thread where you predicted this 3 months in advance? Just curious... don't have to answer it

My history as a trader has had me that early most of the time when I begin building a short position. It was just an experienced feeling. This is why I start with a small number of contracts and build into it. If I go all in at the first trade, then I have to use a stop and take the heat as you guys call it. :)
 
Quote from romik:

here is another bullish divergence

Nice one.

Back to the earlier question--do you agree that the first divergence could have been traded with a tight stop? Were there any signals there on your candles that could have had you reversing before getting stopped out? I noticed that the FST indicator made a sharp double top after the run up from the first divergence. Would that have helped?
 
Quote from Buy1Sell2:

Nice one.

Back to the earlier question--do you agree that the first divergence could have been traded with a tight stop? Were there any signals there on your candles that could have had you reversing before getting stopped out? I noticed that the FST indicator made a sharp double top after the run up from the first divergence. Would that have helped?

There were a couple of signs, firstly it failed to reach previous WRBs High resistance level. Secondly the first red candle pretty much engulfed the previous 2 green candles. The second arrow points to a second attempt to advance, which has also failed. It would have been difficult to get out at entry, small loss more possible as I would have entered when stochastic breaking at least 20 level, that would have provided an entry @ 1266.25-50. Whether I would have reversed I could not say now, in hindsight perhaps. Not traded yet today, been away on other business.
 

Attachments

Daily bias has been long here the past few days and is again today.It's easily seen on hourly charts with the numerous bullish divergences. We'll need to see some topping action on hourly charts to signify that we can break the 1260 area. This could happen in the next few days. However, for the moment the market has an intraday long bias as there are quite a few scared short coverers and greedy buy the dippers in there.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Back
Top