Just to give you a basic example, this is one of the things I was looking at this past week. By the way, the indicators you see are NOT based on S&P500, they are based on something else and I just overlay the S&P500 on this chart. But even looking at the S&P 500, you could tell that the 3900 level was likely going to be a critical level given the prior gap down and ST high. And then there was the MACD histogram momentum shift on Wednesday. I wasn't looking at this by itself but was just one thing that supported the reward / risk analysis and bias shift.
ES Journal - 2021/2022
- Thread starter Buy1Sell2
- Start date
As a basic example, this seems like "2D analysis" to me. I fail to grasp how this is "4D analysis".
But I think I probably still don't grasp the difference or what you're getting at.
Am I the only one here net short?
What's your target on this?
Am I the only one here net short?
I think you may be.
I generally don't hold overnight, so I'm waiting for market open in RTH.
Tomorrow is roll date on index futures.
Well, I probably over-simplified and this was just one of other components. But keep in mind the indicators you see on the chart are NOT indicators on price action.
Interesting.
What does your 4D analysis say about the week ahead if you don't mind sharing?
I noticed you said that about the indicators, but being classical indicators I assumed they must have a price series as input or at least a derivative of a price series.
If my analysis is correct, we should retrace back down to the May low before the end of the month (provided we reverse here, which does sound iffy
).So if not price, what are they based on? And if they're not based on price (to make decision about price), what's the reason for using them?
Last week was a big up week. My weekly and daily model suggests tomorrow might be a consolidation day. If we open with a bigger gap down I will probably buy it, but if not, it might be a churning day with not much happening.
In terms of the weekly cycle, I think we should know by Tuesday what's going to happen, i.e., going higher or failure to break out of last week's range with a reversion back into last week's range targeting at least the mid-point.
We do have that open gap @ 4022,75 from Thursday's Close which might be a target for a pullback lower.
In terms of the weekly cycle, I think we should know by Tuesday what's going to happen, i.e., going higher or failure to break out of last week's range with a reversion back into last week's range targeting at least the mid-point.
We do have that open gap @ 4022,75 from Thursday's Close which might be a target for a pullback lower.