weekly pic of your same scenario rotating around 71 ..last weeks upper nip looks around 63-64 http://www.charthub.com/images/2012/03/02/inside_bar_ES_WeeklyQuote from JoshDance:
out flat ... it's probably gonna go, but major major spx support here, given it's a friday IMO -- the 2011 high held yesterday afternoon, and here is the retest
http://screencast.com/t/cLxb54et
edit: the market has been rotating around this point all week -- on a Friday, a nice breakaway and new highs could really put an exclamation mark on where this market wants to go.