Several comments after reading through all those messages .....
I have been defrauded with a managed future account. The money lost was amazing. It was considered one of the safest (max. 2% drawdown per month) and was recommended by a reputable full services futures firm. They lost 20,900% on one investment (yes, that is twentythousandninehundred percent). They were writing naked calls on natural gas futures. That margin call knocked me flat on my ass. I have never again invested with any kind of fund. Instead I decided to learn to trade myself. I couldn't have chosen a harder path but I didn't feel like I had a choice. Now, to the CFTC's credit, they did find out about, investigate it, and I got some money back (on condition of non-disclosure of names). The CTA giving the signals got a slap on the wrist and a $10k fine. He has a started a new CTA. That CTA was never mentioned anywhere (like futures magazine best/worst performers, etc .....). I guess my point was the $10k fine since someone mentioned that before - it is just a business expense for those guys.
I have attended 2 seminars last year. One was by Linda Raschke of LBRGroup (
www.lbrgroup.com) and I am a huge fan of hers. Not easy, lots of studying, and their alerts (of the live chat) have a lower win/loss ratio of late. LBR has turned me consistently profitable despite my occasional screwing it all up again with lousy money management. Originally I signed up for one month and studied everything on their website which is a lot of material. Then I joined her once a year seminar which was something in the vicinity of $3500 for 3 days if I remember correctly. I also remember that the month following the seminar I had a 100% win loss ratio. Of course, as soon as I started bragging about that - that changed. The course is not enough though (for me anyway) and I had to subscribe to their live chat for further learning and let this stuff sink in some more. Their strength is:
- high probability setups which they often re-evaluate with serious quantified backtesting (Linda has several people working in the background on this stuff)
- live trades with good trade risk management - excellent for newbie learning.
- some knowledgeable people in the open chat which is also excellent for learning.
The other seminar I attended was put on by the Woodiescciclub (
www.woodiescciclub.com). It was free to boot. But here goes:
- I know some of his setups but I have never managed to trade it profitably over time. This is because I have never found out a working trade manegement. Each of their moderators seems to use a different way and that becomes a statistical problem in my book. Their way of trading should skew the numbers in the trader's favor - but alas, not for me.
However, it just might be me. They are very nice and helpful people, but it seems that part of the euqation is for me to discover.
The only time I have traded Woodies CCI method profitably was when I combined it with LBR's way of analyzing the market. But with LBR's method I could get more out of it as they enter the trade more aggressively (like on a pullback) rather than on a breakout.
Cheers,