Election 2024 Foreplay
- Thread starter TreeFrogTrader
- Start date
Watch out for unintended consequences with this weather thing.
I see this weather issue being beaten to death in the media and they have almost turned it into a test of your man/womanhood and whether you are a real Iowan or not.
In other words, "show up and vote or be seen as originally from California." Or at least that is how the Iowan or rural New England mind would take it. Ain't nobody wants that, if you are from Iowa.
New Jersyians (ites?) do not have this kind of pride so I point this out for your edification. You are welcome.
Refer to the aforementioned "unintended consequences."
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It is New Jerseyans. -31° ain’t no joke.
What I will say is if the caucus-goers break 150k I will be impressed and it will be a tea leaf into party-wide enthusiasm.
I get I am way outside the conventional thinking right now but it’s the way I see it. Haley at 8% enthusiastically support, weak ground game and only a recent polling surge makes me think she’s got paper support.
Trump has fanatical supporters and DeSantis I’m betting has sticky and reliable support, albeit low. I wouldn’t be surprised if Ramaswamy hit 10% or 2% either.
We shall see.
True, but the media keeps hyping it by giving the temp with windchill factor. Otherwise it is only 6 or 8 below in Iowa right now and considerably warmer if you have a heater in your car.
Trump up in 5 polls.Biden up in 2,thats whats important.
Polls overestimate the margin for Dems thats why whos leading in the most poles is more accurate in predicting who will win the popular vote.Biden had a 7.2 % aggregate polling lead yet only won The EC by 43,000 votes and 3 points lower than the polling average.The fact that Biden is 8 points lower than he was when he only won by 43,000 votes should give you a reality check.
When the other candidates are included Biden is down 5,in 2020 he was up 7,so in polling that includes the other candidates Biden is currently 12 points lower than he was when he won in 2020 by just 43,000 votes
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CNN just declared Trump the winnier of the Iowa caucus.
Wayyy to go CNN. Who woulda thunk?
All the CNN pundits are sweating bullets. They are talking about Trumps lead in Iowa, but their real concern is that Trump turning out voters in Iowa is an indicator that he will also turn out the vote in the general against Joe Briben.
Wayyy to go CNN. Who woulda thunk?
All the CNN pundits are sweating bullets. They are talking about Trumps lead in Iowa, but their real concern is that Trump turning out voters in Iowa is an indicator that he will also turn out the vote in the general against Joe Briben.
Checking in on me, looking like the midway between the low and high. Read into it whatever you want.