Quote from NoDoji:
Say I develop my strategies using a cheap Excel spreadsheet and a free charting program. I notice certain price patterns that occur shortly before each significant intraday price swing occurs.
There's a problem, though. There's no way for me or anyone else to know in advance whether any individual appearance of these patterns will result in a significant intraday price swing in my favor.
I discover, however, that 100 days worth of spreadsheet analyses of price moves following each appearance of the patterns demonstrates that more often than not the appearance of this pattern will result in a significant price move and by entering trades every time the patterns appear, and managing the risk:reward (stop loss and profit target orders) in a way that exploits the significance of the price moves favorably I can end up with enough profits to live off of.
I'm not bringing a new toy to market. I'm bringing an old toy that's been around as long as there've been price charts and people analyzing the patterns price forms when it reaches certain supply/demand levels and turns the other way.
I'm not trying to outsmart anyone, and not trying to avoid losing trades. I'm simply exploiting the concept of positive expectancy based on the fact that when there's more demand than supply price will rise, when there's more supply than demand, price will fall and at certain levels price will do this strongly enough that I can profit from the inertia inherent in those moves as price progresses from one key level to another.
I'm a small retail trader. I don't have to deploy huge sums of money, therefore I don't have to outsmart anyone or have expensive powerful tools to get what I need.
Ras, how do you make money trading? Are you a "big operator" or do you have some sort of secret method like inside information?