Earnings journal

It's my last week where I will have the luxury to look for opportunities all day. This weekend has been monumental for me and I believe I have found another piece to the puzzle. I'll be looking to beat my returns from last week. Max risk on any given trade will remain at 6% I averaged a little under 3% last week due to the directional nature of the trades.

I have already started on the research. Tomorrow looks like I will be placing many trades. As per usual most trades will be short vol with a directional bias and some will be delta neutral at inception. Something new this week will be out-right delta bets.

Good luck to everyone this week!
 
TheBigShort said:
Out @ 1.65
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Nice trade!

Screen Shot 2019-05-07 at 12.18.59 am.png


Did the spread price really go to $2.27 at the open before it dropped down to $1.60, 5 mins later? ... very volatile. Can you ever exit these spreads right on the open and get a decent price?

Screen Shot 2019-05-07 at 12.23.06 am.png
 
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Adam777 said:
Can you ever exit these spreads right on the open and get a decent price?
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This is really the only sticking point with these earnings trades. The liquidity is terrible at the open, the stock swings around like crazy, and there's some luck involved in getting a good fill (you need to spray and pray with your limit orders). Overall, you end up leaving a lot of money on the table on winning trades, and giving up more than you should on losing trades. You can always hold and hope that it doesn't go too far from your strike as spreads narrow, but I still prefer to get out at open.
 
Adam777 said:
Nice trade!

View attachment 202122

Did the spread price really go to $2.27 at the open before it dropped down to $1.60, 5 mins later? ... very volatile. Can you ever exit these spreads right on the open and get a decent price?

View attachment 202123
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Cool software, what is it? No it was not 2.20 @ the open. There was no bid on the 78 strike at the open which is probrably skewing your results. As OM said liquidity only comes in at around 9:45 so you have to kind of get lucky there. I did not close the 82 strike. Instead I just closed the 73.5/78 back ratio to try and get a better fill (it worked).
 
Adam777 said:
Market Chameleon which was mentioned in a few posts by @Kevin Schmit
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I took a look at the software a while back and it seemed out dated. Clearly I was looking at it from a wrong angle. How much are you paying a month for it?

On a side note, I have been waiting all weekend to say this; I am fully loaded on the IFF May17 135 puts @ 3.30. I am no doubt over paying but I am pretty confident it plummets over 10% tonight. There is also a possibility of a 20% drop IMO

Edit** the 135 puts not 130
 
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Large order today.

MASI 120/140 140/160 Cr.8.40
CRL 125/140 140/155 Cr. 7.86
LITE 53/62 62/71 Cr. 4.53
VAC 90/105 105/115 Cr. 6.47
JEC 70/77.5 77.5/85 Cr. 4.30
SEDG Long 44 Calls outright 2.15
IFF Long 135 Puts outright 3.30
 
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