Duxon's Archive

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The eight-hour temporal support/resistance level is extremely useful in identifying key levels for entering profitable positions. Start incorporating it into your Bias Overlap activity!

Before you drill down to this level...

What you're looking for from a broader perspective is for candlesticks to bounce off eight-hour temporal support or resistance on the "far side" of a sloping eight-hour (and six-hour) baseline, as confirmed by a reversal in the two-hour trend.

In other words, you are looking to execute trades based primarily on (and in the direction of) the 10- and 20-minute baselines, as dictated by the three- and five-minute trend lines, SHORTLY AFTER IDENTIFYING A REVERSAL in the two-hour baseline (and in the same direction as this new trend) as price is rejected by the eight-hour support or resistance level.

This means that, if and when the structure justifies it, you are looking to buy the following pairs: AUDJPY, AUDUSD, GBPJPY, GBPUSD, USDCHF and USDJPY.

You are looking to sell: USDCAD

You are not looking to do anything with EURGBP because it is not clear whether the eight-hour baseline is about to reverse direction and head north, or if it will ultimately continue it downward trajectory.

Nor are you looking to do anything with EURJPY or EURUSD given that both of these pairs evidence a neutral eight-hour baseline.

 

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You are not looking to do anything with EURGBP because it is not clear whether the eight-hour baseline is about to reverse direction and head north, or if it will ultimately continue it downward trajectory.

It would make sense for it to head north if, after trading opens this week, it remains at the bottom of the weekly price range.

UPDATE: GBPUSD is NOT at the bottom of the weekly price range in that this number has dropped down to 0.8386 at the open. However, at 0.8450 it IS resting on eight-hour temporal support.

 

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What you're looking for from a broader perspective...

If the weekly price flow is headed south, you'll want to note whenever a rate has climbed above the center of the associated price range envelope and be ready to short the pair if and when you get the appropriate signals.

Conversely, if the weekly price flow is headed north, you'll want to note whenever a rate has crawled below the middle of the associated price range envelope and, this time, be ready to buy the pair if and when you get the appropriate signals.

Example:

(Anticipate that the process of climbing above the middle of the price range will have resulted in an eight-hour baseline that will be bullish, at least for the time being; and vice versa. If the eight-hour baseline is NOT yet bullish, be careful to avoid jumping the gun and executing a trade prematurely.)

 

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If the weekly price flow is headed south, you'll want to note whenever a rate has climbed above the center of the associated price range envelope and be ready to short the pair if and when you get the appropriate signals.

In the more immediate, you'll want to do the same sort of thing with respect to the 16-hour price flow as well.

 

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Wow! This is INSANE!

During at least three of the last four hours, this pair has gone back and forth, covering a span of at least 80 pips. You can't trade something like this, not even with the NPP Bias Overlap protocol. Is this true?

No, it's not. Let's take a look at a one-minute chart to see why...

Note that the two-, four-, six- and eight-hour trend lines are all bullish, so you want to be entering long positions ONLY.

The fuzzy bottom gray horizontal line is where the eight-hour, two-hour, and 48-minute temporal support levels all converged. The sharper, darker gray line above it is where the two-hour and 48-minute temporal support levels converged later on.

Note that if you entered a long position when the rate made contact with either of these levels, a 20-pip stop loss would have provided you with more than enough room for the market makers to play around with price without stopping you out. The most conservative take-profit target would have been the 48-minute temporal resistance level.

(Note also the "guideposts" offered by the 40-minute price range envelope at 0.37% deviation and the 2⅔-hour price range envelope at 0.50% deviation. The latter would have also served as a justifiable stop less level.)

Rejection at support was suggested by reversal in the five-minute price flow and would have maximized profits. Waiting for confirmation from the ten-minute baseline, which would have been the prudent thing to do, would have reduced the available profit anywhere from 25 to 50 percent.

Waiting for confirmation from the 20-minute baseline might have resulted in a small loss, followed by a respectable gain during the second wave. If the second position had been exited at the eight-hour temporal resistance level rather than the 48-minute level, the return would have been much more significant. This would have been accomplished by electing not to exit the position until the five-minute price flow began to hook southward, which points out why monitoring and managing positions is strongly recommended.

 

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If the eight-hour baseline is NOT yet bullish, be careful to avoid jumping the gun and executing a trade prematurely.

You'll want to wait for the measure to make the turn in the direction of your trade before you actually make your move.

 

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And yet, you will want to drill down even further, doing the same thing at the 2⅔-hour level at 0.50% deviation. But, you will need to consider ALL of this and keep ALL of it in mind simultaneously.

For example, you might want to think long and hard before entering a long position, even if candlesticks are forming in the lower half of a decidedly BULLISH 2⅔-hour price range envelope, should you notice that they are ALSO painting in the top half of a decidedly bearish 16-hour, or two-day (weekly), price range channel.

All things being equal however, understand that normally something akin to "the principle of subsidiarity" is going to be in play, where the "local authority" will usually have a greater impact on what transpires than some other "higher body."