Drowning deep underwater TSLA SEP25 470/460 Credit Spread
- Thread starter ITM_Latino
- Start date
Still like it? Upside fly? I've been around long enough to know to coattail these forecasts.
Yeah, but I am closing it and getting short px in vol out to Jan. I am bearish here. I made a buck on my election trades; about half what I'd expected to earn. C'est la vie.
I am short here, but will cover it if Biden pulls it out.
I don't think Biden will win. That is very, very unfortunate.
Trump win and SPX hits 2800 (3525 last) by the end of March 2021. I am maneuvering to earn at least what I did on my election vol. 2800 SPX target for EOM March 2021. No NDX target.
I can't go bigger until the election is called. I will lose 100-200K if Biden succeeds (by covering shorts).
I am heavily short (DELTA) here basis 3525 in index and SN vol.
I am short here, but will cover it if Biden pulls it out.
I don't think Biden will win. That is very, very unfortunate.
Trump win and SPX hits 2800 (3525 last) by the end of March 2021. I am maneuvering to earn at least what I did on my election vol. 2800 SPX target for EOM March 2021. No NDX target.
I can't go bigger until the election is called. I will lose 100-200K if Biden succeeds (by covering shorts).
I am heavily short (DELTA) here basis 3525 in index and SN vol.
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$5.5K bet now across two accounts. At least it's going to pay for my kid's wheels if Biden loses PA. Pays $29K.
Interesting to hear that. Can you explain more and what you think about Nevada?
I live part time in Washoe. I don't think we (Dems) have a problem in NV. My digital wagers are all in PA ($5,500) because we win nationally if we win PA. I am short Biden in PA from 0.18/1.00 x $5,500. Obv I want Biden to win (idealogically), but betting he will lose PA.
I'll make a lot more money (going forward) under Trumptard as the mkts will crash before the end of 2021.
Taking way too long to count PA but I do believe Biden should be the favorite to take the final lead.