Drowning deep underwater TSLA SEP25 470/460 Credit Spread

destriero said:
I live part time in Washoe. I don't think we (Dems) have a problem in NV. My digital wagers are all in PA ($5,500) because we win nationally if we win PA. I am short Biden in PA from 0.18/1.00 x $5,500. Obv I want Biden to win (idealogically), but betting he will lose PA.

I'll make a lot more money (going forward) under Trumptard as the mkts will crash before the end of 2021.
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If trump wins, COVID vol premium for the next 4 years. A million dead but learning from the republicans, that doesn’t concern me.
 
destriero said:
I live part time in Washoe. I don't think we (Dems) have a problem in NV. My digital wagers are all in PA ($5,500) because we win nationally if we win PA.
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Another way is if Biden carries just NV then he wins 270-268, all else going to Trump (PA, NC, GA, AK).
 
longshort said:
That explains the difference in thinking. AZ was already called for Biden on the Yahoo map I was looking at.
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The problem with AZ is that the "late-early" ballots are largely aged Trump supporters who dropped off their ballots not wanting to risk COVID on election day. It will likely cut Biden's lead to inside 20K votes.

NV lead increases marginally to 12K votes.
 
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