Donald

Did you notice that odds on Republican control of the Senate jumped over +4% after the convention?
Its interesting when the polls and the betting odds diverge like that.

There is no doubt here however, the betting odds are more accurate. And before H4M or anyone else posts a screenshot from the last time around... between 2016 and now, the gaming sector's use of AI has been proven to be exponentially more accurate each year.

Covid threw a wrench in the stats of course, since there's not a whole lot of sports to keep stats on... but up until then, the 'bookies' (if you can even call these operations that) were zeroing in on a laser accuracy that shocked even me. The same kind of AI that is giving us self driving cars is being used by the big players in the online gambling sector. 2016 might as well be 1970 if we want to compare technologies. In a way at least.

Scary stuff really. In so many regards. So with that said... the Pub's jump of 4% aggregate over several of the top betting sites... Trump is obviously on a roll. Biden needs to come out of hiding.
These debates are gonna be the best ever.
They really should be PPV.
Give it all to charity.
hmmmm---this is an interesting swing as well--
upload_2020-8-30_20-37-9.png
 
Daily Presidential Tracking Poll


Thursday, September 03, 2020


The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Thursday shows that 50% of Likely U.S. Voters approve of President Trump’s job performance. Forty-nine percent (49%) disapprove.
 
Friday, September 04, 2020


The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Friday shows that 52% of Likely U.S. Voters approve of President Trump’s job performance. Forty-eight percent (48%) disapprove.
 
Looking good Mr President--
Herd Immunity May Be Slowing Spread in U.S., As Study Finds 40 Percent Community Infection Provides Protection
https://www.newsweek.com/herd-immunity-slowing-virus-us-1525089
Herd immunity may be slowing the spread of COVID-19 in some parts of the U.S., scientists say, as a study finds that a population-wide infection rate of around 40 percent might be sufficient to achieve this form of community protection against the disease.
"I wanted to discuss the degree to which population immunity may be contributing to curbing COVID-19 in Florida, Arizona and Texas, where recent surges have resulted in substantial epidemics," Bedford wrote in a series of tweets. "After increasing dramatically in June and July, daily case counts in Florida, Arizona and Texas have begun to subside."

"I believe the substantial epidemics in Arizona, Florida and Texas will leave enough immunity to assist in keeping COVID-19 controlled," he said.
 
Voters now give President Trump the highest marks of his presidency when it comes to his handling of the economy and national security. He's doing better than President Obama was going into the 2012 election.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that 52% of Likely U.S. Voters rate Trump’s handling of the economy as good or excellent despite the pounding it’s taken this year from the coronavirus lockdown. That’s up from 39% in mid-2017 just after he took office and edges his previous high of 51% in October 2018. Thirty-seven percent (37%) say he’s doing a poor job. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Forty-nine percent (49%) think the president is doing a good or excellent job handling national security issues. This, too, is up from 39% three years ago and the previous high of 47% in June of last year. Forty-one percent (41%) believe Trump is doing a poor job in this area.At this point in his presidency in mid-September 2012, 41% of voters said Barack Obama was doing a good or excellent job handling the economy, and 46% gave him positive marks for national security.
 
Back
Top