Dollar decline nearing an end?

I wanted to through this out there also. The $dx is at a crucial turning point right now. Price has broken below the 50 sma but all the moving averages have been stopped at the 50. The RSI has also gone below 50 along with the 7 ema of the RSI. This is now dropping blow the 50 also. Notice how price acts when the 21 ema (blue line.) hits the 50. As it did twice during 2004. If it drops below the 50 line then a price will follow. But if the RSI itself turns back up above the 50 and the 21 ema, then it's safe to assume that the dollar bull run is still on.

Price should drop to 86.55.-70. This would be in my view a better place to re-evaluate the next move.

Just my 2 bits.

Also notice the H&S forming on the dollar also.
 

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Hi!

Yes, I agree with the RSI ... but price has to turn it up.

And 86 is probably a better entry point. But I'm satisfied thus far.
 
Hi Tony,

Just what I thought too. The EUR hourly thrusts have been getting weaker and weaker. I have got out of all my EUR position and am 100% cash now. If the EUR can't make a new high tomorrow, I think that's the end of wave B.

By the way, gold has been completely crazy the last few days, which is so typical of a blowoff top in that market. I think it will go down to retest $600 soon. That fits well with the bottom in USD.
 
Hi Hoang,

Totally agree!

Glad you sold out of the EURO you made quite a few bips eh?

Looking for a move upward in the $$$ to confirm, but I've been waiting for this retest :)

Gold is getting way ahead of itself. Sure it's a bull market, but it doesn't have to do it all in one week. Will be waiting for the next buying oppty.

China's doing great :)
 
Quote from hoangmphung:

Hi Tony,

Just what I thought too. The EUR hourly thrusts have been getting weaker and weaker. I have got out of all my EUR position and am 100% cash now. If the EUR can't make a new high tomorrow, I think that's the end of wave B.

By the way, gold has been completely crazy the last few days, which is so typical of a blowoff top in that market. I think it will go down to retest $600 soon. That fits well with the bottom in USD.
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Hoang,

Dollar/Euro: The greenback appears to have put in the anticipated double bottom low. Positive divergences are in place and looking for the Dollar to start moving higher. Conversely the Euro heading lower.
 
My H&S has not convincingly yet broken the neckline, so not sure if it will complete. This should be interesting. Would LOVE to pick up foreign equities on near to intermediate term Dollar strength, thanks.
 
Quote from gharghur2:

Hoang,

Dollar/Euro: The greenback appears to have put in the anticipated double bottom low. Positive divergences are in place and looking for the Dollar to start moving higher. Conversely the Euro heading lower.
More...

Yes, I think the EUR has completed the retest of the recent high this morning (Sunday evening US time). I shorted it last Friday at 1.350. Looking for a near term target at the low of the channel.
 
Hoang,

That gap down opening as a result of the G-7 meeting and the selloff in the Yen overnight might indicate that the $$$ is going to the previous 4th wave @ 86.02. So I'd be careful here.

tony
 
TY for your support :)

Pretty spooky, these currency gyrations after the G-7 was talking the dollar down. Rattled the YEN big time last night and the Nikkei.
 
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