I disagree that polls at this point mean nothing.
These are 2015 GOP primary polls
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2015 Dem primary polls
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2019 Dem primary polls
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This year could be off by Trump being convicted of crimes but other than that he would be a shoo in imo
What were the odds that Trump would win the Presidency in 2015? And right prior to your poll cutoff, they had Jeb Bush ahead. As I said, lets have some debates, lets let some time pass and we'll get a clearer picture. Its too early to say someone has no chance or is going down.