DeSantis for the win

The clues are on this site; my guesses follow. A significant proportion of the public isn't on board with safety precautions and taking the virus seriously as a risk. Two, there is no proper national mandate from government; Trump barely even acknowledges it's even happening. He's been lying about the data and some people believe him. Three, the opening isn't gradual enough. For example gyms are closed here but open some places in Canada ( one US poster says he's been going to his gym for weeks now if not longer ) Four is true everywhere, once you lose control of things it rapidly gets out of hand, faster then you can retrench and control it.

It's a bad situation that turns tragic rather easily.

I understand that the US does things sub-optimally, and yes Trump is dumb. But Brasil has about the same population and half the cases. Something doesn't add up even adjusting for US stupidity.
 
"DeSantis for the win"

56 Florida hospital ICUs have hit capacity
https://www.cnn.com/2020/07/07/health/us-coronavirus-tuesday/index.html

The worsening coronavirus pandemic hit a series of somber peaks across the United States on Tuesday, renewing fears that more hospitals could be overloaded with Covid-19 patients.

At least 56 intensive care units in Florida hospitals reached capacity on Tuesday, state officials said. Another 35 hospitals show ICU bed availability of 10% or less, according to the Agency for Health Care Administration in that state.

Georgia surpassed 100,000 reported coronavirus cases, becoming the ninth state to pass the mark.

In California, the number of hospitalizations across the state were at an all-time high and the virus positivity rate jumped more than 2% in Los Angeles.

As nearly 3 million confirmed coronavirus cases were reported in the US, the need for testing has increased. That has led federal officials to set up new testing sites in Florida, Louisiana and Texas. But major diagnostic companies have said they are facing testing delays.

Hospitals in Texas and Florida are flooded with critical Covid-19 patients and some local and state officials have made face coverings mandatory.

Last week, the country averaged just under 50,000 new cases daily -- the highest rate recorded, and twice as high as a month ago.

Texas reported more than 10,000 new cases on Tuesday, marking the highest single day total in the state since the pandemic began.

Dr. Anthony Fauci, the nation's top infectious disease expert, said Tuesday the death rate among coronavirus patients has lowered but Americans shouldn't take comfort in it.

"It's a false narrative to take comfort in a lower rate of death," Fauci, the director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, said during a livestream with Sen. Doug Jones of Alabama. "There's so many other things that are very dangerous and bad about this virus, don't get yourself into false complacency."

More than 131,200 people in the US have died from coronavirus, according to data from Johns Hopkins University.

An influential coronavirus model often cited by the White House increased its projections for US deaths on Tuesday and it's now forecasting more than 208,000 deaths by November.

But face masks could save as many as 45,000 US lives by November if 95% of the population wears a covering in public, according to the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) at the University of Washington, which built the model.

"It's an incredibly simple strategy and intervention," Chris Murray, director of the IHME, told CNN. "It's one that will save lives, but it will also help the economy enormously because it will avoid shutdowns which will inevitably come when things get quickly out of control in some states."

(More at above url)
You'll have that in order to get through.
 
Texas hit a new death high yesterday, overall I'm hoping the death increase is from late reporting due to the holiday. Our hospitalizations trend can't stay like this long though before we have real problems.
 
Texas hit a new death high yesterday, overall I'm hoping the death increase is from late reporting due to the holiday. Our hospitalizations trend can't stay like this long though before we have real problems.

Even the hospitalizations data doesn't look all that bad. I posted yesterday Harris county as an example - most of the ICU utilization is non-covid.
 
Even the hospitalizations data doesn't look all that bad. I posted yesterday Harris county as an example - most of the ICU utilization is non-covid.


It's pretty bad, that rate of change is not sustainable for very long. I do believe we have gotten much better treating it, but when you run out of beds that doesn't matter.

hospital.PNG
 
It's pretty bad, that rate of change is not sustainable for very long. I do believe we have gotten much better treating it, but when you run out of beds that doesn't matter.

View attachment 233050

I don't think the rate of change continues at that pace. Lets hope I am right.

It is important to understand what the beds are used and in what manner. If a good portion of these beds are being used because, after months of being locked down, hospitals restarted elective surgery, then that's one thing. If Covid patients are being put in ICU beds simply because they are being isolated there as to not contaminate the rest of the population but aren't truly in need of ICU treatment (as was happening in Miami Dade) then that's also something to consider.
 
Exactly right...

Our shutdown was designed to shift the virus exposure out for a few months.
It was never designed to extinguish the virus.
Morons in the press and ET were touting exit strategies which included around goals which could never be achieved with what Fauci recently called a 50 percent shutdown.

Fauci was was always warning of a second wave... because he knew the shutdown was not going to make the virus go way.

Our politicians were morons. Our press was not demanding data and science and tons of govt supporting morons were cheering them on here on ET and in social media.

----
- There were only 2 basic models to choose from back then and going forward.

the equivalent of a 97 percent shutdown per Fauci's explanation last week...

or

lockdown borders - protect the high risk.... allow the low risk groups out
and test and trace clusters with limited lockdowns and transparent data so the public trust is restored.
===

Unfortunately here in CA and most of the US choose a model designed to shift the virus exposure out in time... and then slowly it morphed into stupid thinking... morons thought we could control of the virus with a 50 percent shutdown...

Our model was just absolute stupidity after about 3 weeks.

the only hopes with our model... were long term hopes... independent of govt lockdowns... .

Vaccine, therapy, natural virus burnout or very long term herd immunity because our strategy would make that a very very slow process.



I understand that the US does things sub-optimally, and yes Trump is dumb. But Brasil has about the same population and half the cases. Something doesn't add up even adjusting for US stupidity.
 
I'd just like to bring this up - I don't know how pervasive and to what extent it is out there, but I can imagine it is quite substantial. I was talking with a friend of mine who is a child psychologist at lunch. He says he's never been busier. Kids with anxiety issues and parents who've medicated them for their anxiety issues are at levels he's never seen before. They're openly weeping in his office about the crisis - some silly things like missing proms and graduation, some scared to death about dying from COVID. All they eat and breathe all day long is social media and their parents who are breathing the same.

We have to be breeding a whole generation of kids who are going to be a total mess and anti-social, medicated lunatics because of this crap.
 
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