Day trading derivatives futures.

13 jul Asian session

profit target for Asian session > $1000
stop trading when loss hit $500.

yesterday most asian index futures, copper and NQ up.
most asian index futures actually in range

longed NQ @803am. quite late entry actually as I just woke up.
first signal @ 716am.
 
13 jun Asian end of week session

Day trading will overflow your cup with tons of $$$.
So get the biggest cup possible.

asian early session - movement has been rather jerky / sluggish / directionless.
with such market, very easy to lose money.

hmm. something happening to nikkei / NQ?
missed the 1135am up signal.

well. let's see what China A50 , hangseng going to do later.
 
cash-money-blue-sky.jpg


13 jun Eur session
quite straight forward session

eur down, gbp down, gold down , german bond up, energy futures down.
signal basically come from textbook answer.
 
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cash-money-blue-sky.jpg


13 jun Eur session
quite straight forward session

eur down, gbp down, gold down , german bond up, energy futures down.
signal basically come from textbook answer.

Say Eur, what's your profit target and stop loss?
What was your entry point today?
 
Say Eur, what's your profit target and stop loss?
What was your entry point today?

time 208pm GMT+8
entry price 11707
as of now, perhaps you can shift SL to protective stop at 11692

let's say you use 2 lots.
first lot target say ~ 30 pips profit.
2nd lot hold for many hours.
 
13 jul US session
italy, germany france bonds all up. Will US push it even higher ?
eur gbp gold down. will US push it even lower?

hmmm. US indices reversing down. missed those signals.
yesterday NQ very long blue candle, ES YM quite long blue candle, russell small body wide range candle.
 
time 208pm GMT+8
entry price 11707
as of now, perhaps you can shift SL to protective stop at 11692

let's say you use 2 lots.
first lot target say ~ 30 pips profit.
2nd lot hold for many hours.

Thank you so much for your reply. I'm curious, how do you reduce number of false breakouts. In this case is it because of the big moves in currency ytd for JPY?

Isn't it dangerous to trade reversals on big trend days. Is it because equities tend to mean revert more? What are good signals for reversals / mean reversion?
 
Thank you so much for your reply. I'm curious, how do you reduce number of false breakouts. In this case is it because of the big moves in currency ytd for JPY?

Isn't it dangerous to trade reversals on big trend days. Is it because equities tend to mean revert more? What are good signals for reversals / mean reversion?

how to reduce false breakouts? I look at how messy / jerky its movement is. if movement is very messy / jerky, I will avoid trading that instrument. eg today Asian index futures movement was very jerky / messy. Judging its movement is an art, not science.
but then at times, I might miss the signal and that futures might move substantially.

reversal. big trend days, price might reverse. small trend days price might also reverse.
There are reversal signal everywhere from index futures to commodity futures, bond futures , currency futures....
when there is reversal signal, there is absolutely no way to predict who far the price will go.
good example is russell 2000, yesterday 932pm GMT+8 where price moved alot.
also no way to predict whether reversal signal is going to be good or bad.

my frame of mind is : whenever there is continuation or reversal signal, take it first without hestitation, without 2nd thoughts, and take it blindly.
exception : when movement is very messy / jerky. as mentioned, this is an art, not science. sometimes I got it right and avoided losses, sometimes wrong and missed a very good signal.

bottom line - no perfect answer.
 
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16 Jul Asian session

Last fri, most asian and US index futures hardly move.

well, CALM before the STORM?
After STORM, there could be CALM too ( last Thu STORM, last Fri CALM).



Did some housekeeping to my charts.
those futures that like to sleep and sleep have been put into archive
eg Aud, ZN

rearranged my charts so that I can better trade NewYork Mercantile Heating oil and RB gasoline.
These futures damn hard to trade due to its spiky messy movement.
Perhaps I should trade these through ICE Europe? But that means more data fees.
 
hmm.

HO and RB gasoline volume from ICE very low.

sigh .... I have to stick to trading this difficult to trade HO and RB from NYMEX.

HO RB and crude oil went down significantly during today eur session.

and hmmm.
Russian Ruble volume from CME also very low.
Perhaps must try trading Ruble through Moscow Exchange ?
 
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