Turveyd, you've cited this 0.1% fatality rate at least three times in this thread. You're way off base.
The best estimate of the fatality rate in New York City as of May 1 is
1.4%. Here's how that was calculated:
Actual recovered cases: 1,671,351 (10 times the number of confirmed cases) as of May 1. This figure is based on an antibody testing study conducted by New York State, which showed that 19.9% of NYC residents had COVID-19 antibodies.
Actual deaths: 23,430 (almost twice the number of confirmed deaths) as of May 1. This figure was calculated by the CDC looking at "excess deaths" above expected seasonal baseline levels, regardless of the reported cause of death.
Total cases: 1,694,751 (adding the two figures above)
Fatality rate: 23,430 / 1,694,751 = 0.0138 (
1.4%)
Source:
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/coronavirus-death-rate/
I disagree, we won't know the true Death rate till it's all over, but currently NYC is doing badly @0.166%, but tests / deaths is irrelevant to me. It's also increasing very slowly at this point +21 deaths so that's +0.00002% so it's not going to increase much more, and I don't expect a 2nd wave, no sign of yet in NYC because got to be close to 100% have had it. NYC is 2nd worst death rate in the world, only NJ beating it.
UK is 0.07%, Sweden 0.05% no lockdowns, Italy had it first 0.06%, Spain 0.056%.
CDC revised death rate to below 0.3% a while back aswell.
Swedens, Test / Death rate was poor, getting slated, so they increased there testing, as you can see positive tests doubled, which improved the testing / death rate, didn't change the death rate but made people happier to continue without lockdown.
Antibody tests don't work well, quite a few are getting well via T-Cels not Antibodies and they've got a T-Cel test and increased the numbers nicely, so they'll need to do both tests, to find out the true infection rate.
Don't forget Lockdown itself is causing extra deaths over the average, suicides increase, fear of going into hospital for treatment mainly.
If NYC wasn't pretty much everyones had it, it would be increasing like Florida, Ever state that's barely had it is shooting up, all the first hit states aren't, this isn't a coincidence, this is the peak before we'll call it Herd!! ( Spain, Italy, Sweden no lockdowns similar numbers and no 2nd wave for nearly 2 months, Italy and Spain after lockdowns removed )
watch them all start leveling off around 0.1% or 1000/Mil on Worldometers.
