Corona Virus Death Rate will be about .6% to .7%

Good1 said:
Who proved it? How?

Youre repeating talking points from last spring. And this is not the point of my query. Suppose hcq was a placebo for argument sake. It was measured at 3 deaths in 1000 approx. Meanwhile the official rate starts about 50 in 1000 and finally moved down to 3 in 1000 the same as "placebo".

Back then 3 in 1000 was considered good...nit enough to shut down economy or mail out millions ballots. So there appears to have been plenty scare mongering. Still, that is not the point.

Now, what is the death rate supposed to be with new vaccines? Do you know? I dont think you do.
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There have been numerous medical papers posted showing HCQ is completely ineffective for COVID. All the leading public health and medical associations have told doctors to stop using it. Using HCQ only increased deaths and did nothing to lower COVID deaths.

Once a necessary level of the population is vaccinated then herd immunity will be arrived at — effectively ending the threat from COVID. This is how vaccines work.

Countries that locked down properly and performed proper contact tracing and testing such as South Korea, New Zealand, Taiwan and others have effectively eliminated COVID — their economies are now open without restrictions except for incoming travel.

Countries that failed to follow public health guidelines such as Brazil and the United States are enduring the worse... and the upcoming winter will only make the situation more dismal.
 
Enduring the worse?
Relative to whom...
I noticed you eliminated germany from your list great countries and now you have 2 islands and and isolated country on a peninsula which may as well be an island.
Now do I wish we closed our borders yes... if they are going to use those stats to shut us down...

but...

in terms of deaths... right now... per capita... US is doing far better than many Euro countries.
Could it change yes.

https://ourworldindata.org/coronavi...othing=7&pickerMetric=location&pickerSort=asc





gwb-trading said:
There have been numerous medical papers posted showing HCQ is completely ineffective for COVID. All the leading public health and medical associations have told doctors to stop using it. Using HCQ only increased deaths and did nothing to lower COVID deaths.

Once a necessary level of the population is vaccinated then herd immunity will be arrived at — effectively ending the threat from COVID. This is how vaccines work.

Countries that locked down properly and performed proper contact tracing and testing such as South Korea, New Zealand, Taiwan and others have effectively eliminated COVID — their economies are now open without restrictions except for incoming travel.

Countries that failed to follow public health guidelines such as Brazil and the United States are enduring the worse... and the upcoming winter will only make the situation more dismal.
More...
 
Good1 said:
Not sure what you giggly girls think is so funny. The estimated death rates have been changing constantly since last winter, starting very high, and gradually going lower and lower such that the "natural" death rate appears to stand now at about 3 in 1000. I can't recall when most sources settled upon that number. But those numbers were as high as 50 in 1000 at the beginning.

Meanwhile, the lowest rate i ever heard about for hydroxycholoquine was about 3 in 1000. Of course, those numbers all depended on when it was administered. Even then, there were doubtfully enough case studies to scientifically come up with enough data points to be meaningful.

In this shifting environment, why do you girls giggle so much? Is it because you actually think you know something, or that actual rates can be known? I don't think so. Not in this politically charged environment.

Now comes this vaccine and we are hearing numbers from 70% to 95% effective. And your best spokes-girl gwb thinks he is above stooping to the level of explaining this. Is it because you girls really have no clue what that means?

Is the "95%" effective applied to the 3 (in 1000) or the 1000...or to the entire yet-to-be infected population?

I don't think you know. Laughing doesn't convert your faith into knowledge.
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No, didn't read, it was funny because you did a stupid.
 
gwb-trading said:
Countries that locked down properly and performed proper contact tracing and testing such as South Korea, New Zealand, Taiwan and others have effectively eliminated COVID — their economies are now open without restrictions except for incoming travel.

Countries that failed to follow public health guidelines such as Brazil and the United States are enduring the worse... and the upcoming winter will only make the situation more dismal.
More...

You are kidding right. You cite islands? WTF?

By the way, the predicted death rate by Wildchild in March was between .6% to .7%. The estimated death rate this fall by the CDC is .65%
 
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wildchild said:
You are kidding right. You cite islands? WTF?

By the way, the predicted death rate by Wildchild in March was between .6% to .7%. The estimated death rate this fall by the CDC is .65%
More...
 
wildchild said:
You are kidding right. You cite islands? WTF?

By the way, the predicted death rate by Wildchild in March was between .6% to .7%. The estimated death rate this fall by the CDC is .65%
More...
It might end up being around .6-.7%, but it was a lucky guess, not based on legitimate statistical analysis on your part lol. We don't have a decent estimate of the number of unconfirmed cases. Without a reasonable range to estimate that it's impossible to get an estimate down to a .1% margin.
 
kmgilroy89 said:
It might end up being around .6-.7%, but it was a lucky guess, not based on legitimate statistical analysis on your part lol.
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It was not a lucky guess. Pretty straight forward analysis with data that was publicly available at the time.
 
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