Conservative Options Trades

Wireless:
http://www.fool.com/investing/gener...r-att-can-you-guess-which-wireless-brand.aspx
http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=T&t=2y&l=off&z=l&q=l&c=VZ
VZ:
http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?t=2y&l=on&z=l&q=l&p=&a=&c=&s=vz&ql=1
http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ks?s=VZ+Key+Statistics
http://investing.money.msn.com/investments/financial-statements?symbol=VZ

Trade:
With VZ at 47.12
Jan '15 40/35 bull put spread for a net credit of $49
Yield = 49/451 = 10.86% in 258 days or 15.4% annualized
Prob = 93%
Expectation = .93(49) - .01(451) - .06(226) = 45.6 - 4.51 - 13.6 = 27.5
 
Wireless c'td:
http://www.fool.com/investing/gener...r-att-can-you-guess-which-wireless-brand.aspx
http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=T&t=2y&l=off&z=l&q=l&c=VZ
T:
http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=T&t=2y&l=on&z=l&q=l&c=
http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ks?s=T+Key+Statistics
http://investing.money.msn.com/investments/financial-statements?symbol=T
Trade:
With T at 35.63
Jan '14 30/25 bull put spread for a net credit of $37
Yield = 37/463 = 7.99% in 258 days or 11.3% annualized
Prob = 93%
Expectation = .93(37) - .01(463) - .06(232) = 34.4 - 4.63 - 13.9 = 15.9

Remarkably similar trades but with a slight edge to VZ
 
LNKD:

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/bear-day-linkedin-lnkd-050021595.html

http://online.wsj.com/news/articles...79536043981760728.html?ru=yahoo?mod=yahoo_itp

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/linkedin-price-target-lowered-141-115253016.html

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/linkedin-price-target-lowered-225-103529524.html

http://www.bloomberg.com/video/how-...-money-T~RNzo2nSfW5PCLBlWPhfQ.html?cmpid=yhoo

http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=LNKD&t=2y&l=off&z=l&q=l&c=

Trade:
With LNKD at 147.73
Nov 165/160 bear put spread for a net debit of $390

Price.................Profit / Loss................ROI %
110.80............... 110.00.................... 28.21%
129.12............... 110.00.................... 28.21%
148.40............... 110.00.................... 28.21%
147.73................110.00.....................28.21%
160.00............... 110.00.................... 28.21%
161.10...................... 0.00...................... 0.00%
165.00.............. (390.00).............. -100.00%
167.68.............. (390.00).............. -100.00%
186.97.............. (390.00).............. -100.00%
206.25.............. (390.00).............. -100.00%

Alternate trade:
Nov 165/170 bear call spread for a net credit of $115


Price.................Profit / Loss...............ROM %
110.80............... 115.00..................... 23.00%
130.32............... 115.00..................... 23.00%
147.73.................115.00.....................23.00%
150.86............... 115.00..................... 23.00%
165.00............... 115.00..................... 23.00%
166.15..................... 0.00........................ 0.00%
170.00............... (385.00)................ -77.00%
171.41............... (385.00)................ -77.00%
191.95............... (385.00)............... -77.00%
212.50............... (385.00).............. -77.00%

Debit or credit in the end it's all the same... more or less.
 
LNKD Ctd

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=lnkd

What about a bullish LNKD trade?

with LNKD at 150.73

Nov 100/95 bull put spread for a net credit of $46


Price................Profit / Loss.................ROM %
71.25.................. (454.00).................... -90.80%
93.66.................. (454.00).................... -90.80%
95.00.................. (454.00).................... -90.80%
99.54.......................... 0.00.......................... 0.00%
100.00.................... 46.00.......................... 9.20%
117.25.................... 46.00.......................... 9.20%
140.85.................... 46.00.......................... 9.20%
164.44.................... 46.00.......................... 9.20%
188.03.................... 46.00.......................... 9.20%
 
TSLA:

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-...-deliveries-credit-sales-slow.html?cmpid=yhoo

http://finance.yahoo.com/q/is?s=TSLA

http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ks?s=TSLA+Key+Statistics

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=tsla

Trade:
With TSLA at 207.28
May 230/235 bear call spread for a net credit of $90

Price...................Profit / Loss..................ROM %
155.46.................. 90.00........................... 22.00%
182.00.................. 90.00............................ 22.00%
207.28...................90.00..............................22.00%
209.94.................. 90.00 ............................ 22.00%
230.00.................. 90.00 ............................ 22.00%
230.90..................... 0.00 ................................0.00%
235.00.............. (410.00)......................... -82.00%
237.88.............. (410.00)......................... -82.00%
265.81.............. (410.00)......................... -82.00%
293.75.............. (410.00)......................... -82.00%
 
CAH:

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/cardinal-health-fiscal-3q-profit-122404655.html

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=CAH

Trade:
with CAH at 63.83
June 65/62.5 bear put spread for a net debit of $140


Price......................Profit / Loss............ROI %
46.88........................ 110.00............... 78.57%
53.47........................ 110.00............... 78.57%
60.42........................ 110.00............... 78.57%
62.50........................ 110.00............... 78.57%
63.60.............................. 0.00................... 0.00%
65.00....................... (140.00)......... -100.00%
67.36....................... (140.00)......... -100.00%
74.31....................... (140.00)......... -100.00%
81.25....................... (140.00)......... -100.00%
 
CVD:

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/covance-posts-line-q1-earnings-183004477.html

http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ks?s=CVD+Key+Statistics

http://investing.money.msn.com/investments/financial-statements?symbol=cvd

http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=CVD&t=2y&l=off&z=l&q=l&c=

Trade:
With CVD at 82.38
Nov 65/60 bull put spread for a net credit of $55
Yield = 55/445 = 12.36 % in 196 days or 23% annualized
Prob = 90%
Expectation = .9(55) - .04(445) - .06(223) = 49.5 - 17.8 - 13.4 = 18.3


Price.................Profit / Loss..............ROM %
45.00................... (445.00)................. -89.00%
55.00................... (445.00)................. -89.00%
60.00................... (445.00)................. -89.00%
64.45........................... 0.00........................ 0.00%
65.00........................ 55.00..................... 12.36%
70.00........................ 55.00...................... 12.36%
80.00........................ 55.00...................... 12.36%
90.00........................ 55.00...................... 12.36%
100.00..................... 55.00...................... 12.36%
 
SLAB:

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/bear-day-silicon-labs-slab-050024830.html

http://online.barrons.com/news/arti...1904579557800004865112?mod=BOL_hp_highlight_1

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=slab

SLAB is looking for a breakout up or down. I think up is unlikely

http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ks?s=SLAB+Key+Statistics

http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=SLAB&t=2y&l=on&z=l&q=l&c=

Trade:
With SLAB at $45.00

Oct 45/40 bear put spread for a net debit of $230

Price..............Profit / Loss...................ROI %
30.00.................. 270.00................... 117.39%
35.00.................. 270.00.................... 117.39%
40.00.................. 270.00.................... 117.39%
40.34.................. 235.90..................... 102.57%
42.70........................ 0.00........................... 0.00%
45.00................. (230.00)................. -100.00%
45.64................. (230.00).................. -100.00%
50.95................. (230.00).................. -100.00%
56.25................. (230.00).................. -100.00%
 
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