SEEKING CLARITY
I wanted to make crystal clear exactly what comprised the sweet spots or "money measures" when it came to this past week's trading of commodities. In terms of the first asset I evaluated, it was essentially the slopes of two envelopes and two moving averages, and their positional relationships with respect to one another, that constituted my key graphics.
In going through this same process with the next commodity, I came to realize that the two longer term indicators to which I was delegating a certain amount of responsibility (portions of which I chose to erase from the image below) could be deleted in that they really did not play significant roles in the context of shorter-term (drawdown circumventing) trades...
This left me with a total of five indicators—three moving averages and two envelopes.
After analyzing the third commodity, the strategy to use (incorporating two moving averages and one envelope) became so clear that I just deleted all the graphics and simply coded a corresponding trade alert indicator...
When I got to the fourth and final commodity, it became obvious that I should take the exact same approach I took with the third. This resulted in a chart configuration quite different from what I was using previously, so it is likely it will need some degree of refinement. Even so, the measures I used seemed to possess enough validity to generate trade alerts that appear sufficiently actionable, even
before double checking my numbers...