So then, in one sense Test Trade #1 was a failure, but in another sense, it wasn't given that if I had been willing to stay awake all night and enter positions after actually getting the go ahead from this tactic's trigger signals, I would have ultimately entered positions as suggested by the arrows plotted on the chart below (and profited accordingly).I can't really expect the statistical probability that the odds of my seeing a positive outcome are at this point in my favor, and should therefore not be surprised if this ultimately turns out to be a losing trade.
So in this sense, last night's failure in effect verifies that the strategy—if implemented exactly as intended—will indeed work. And at 192.74, GBPJPY is once again at a pivot point where I have to wait to see if it the final decision will be to resume a northbound trajectory or to turn tail and head south once again.
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