CL Redux

Yeah, I was up 68 on the day, then f'd around in the chop and now am down -10. Just bought .01 and sold .20 but too much speculative non-confirmed trading in the chop.
 
Tight range actually. Just seemed oversold to me. But I did take a chance holding through those pullbacks. Not sure it was worth that risk for 72 ticks. :) I'm busy with some other work so let it go, but in and out scalps would have worked better.
 
Quote from BCE:

Tight range actually. Just seemed oversold to me. But I did take a chance holding through those pullbacks. Not sure it was worth that risk for 72 ticks. :) I'm busy with some other work so let it go, but in and out scalps would have worked better.
Would have made maybe 4-5 times as much scalping this. :)

BTW Baron, if you happen to be reading this, the servers are really, really slow these days. Frequently takes forever for the pages to load.
 
Futures Movers

Aug. 8, 2011, 10:30 a.m. EDT

Oil futures tank after S&P downgrade

Investors flee oil, other energy markets after U.S. credit rating’s cut

By Claudia Assis and Polya Lesova, MarketWatch

SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) — Crude-oil futures fell sharply on Monday, shedding more than 3% as Standard & Poor’s downgrade of the U.S. credit rating reinforced worries about the economic outlook.

Continuing what’s been a major pullback, crude for September delivery (NMN:CL1U) dropped $3.03, or 3.5%, to $83.87 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

The contract earlier hit an intraday low of $82.52 a barrel, according to FactSet Research data.

“Further losses can be expected in the near term, as financial investors should reduce risk positions on the back of high risk aversion and the uncertain economic outlook,” said Commerzbank analysts in a note.

Standard & Poor’s late Friday took the unprecedented step of downgrading the U.S. credit rating by one notch to AA+, and assigned it a negative outlook.

Investors sought a safe haven in gold futures, which rallied above $1,700 an ounce. Wall Street opened sharply lower, and Asian and European stocks also got clobbered.

In a reseach brief Monday, analysts at Goldman Sachs noted “heightened uncertainty around the commodity outlook.”

However, “several factors are leading us to keep our constructive commodity views over the next year intact, including still-high expectations of global GDP growth sufficient to tighten key commodity markets, expected strong growth in [emerging markets] ... and commodity supply disappointments that have substantially offset if not dominated demand disappointments in key markets,” they said.

For oil, “it’s only a matter of time before inventories and [Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries] spare capacity become effectively exhausted, requiring higher oil prices to restrain demand,” the analysts added.

Other energy products tracked oil lower, with heating oil leading the way. The September contract (NMN:HO1U) lost 6 cents, or 2%, to $2.88 a gallon. September gasoline (NMN:RB1U) declined 4 cents, or 1.7%, to $2.76 a gallon.
 
Obviously shorting the rally attempts in the direction of the major trend - down - is still in play. And also obviously at some point that won't work and there will be follow through on one of these rallies. Not necessarily looking for a key reversal day as there's no news at this point to drive that. But we may get some rally off technical levels. Like DOW 11,000 maybe?
 
Will short .46

ADD filled .45 need buyer at .40 to bail though
ADD out .44 -- too much range, not a good time of day for it to break down I suppose, though it may still try.
 
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