very good READ .....
The War Is On
http://www.strategypage.com/qnd/iran/articles/20120712.aspx
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1/ July 12, 2012: The new, and more severe, sanctions against Iran have been in force for nearly two weeks, and they are hurting. Oil shipments, according to the Iranian government, are down 30 percent.
2/ Inflation, according to the government is somewhere north of 20 percent. It's actually closer to 30 percent, largely because the government just prints more money to give angry Iranians, to help offset the ever-rising prices. This just makes the inflation worse.
3/ <b>Iran has made it clear that if the sanctions really hurt (they already do), the Straits of Hormuz could be closed by Iranian missiles, mines and warships. This is unlikely, as this would be a declaration of war against most of the world. The threat was mainly for internal consumption, because the oil sales sanctions are hurting. </b>
4/ <b> Right now, the Iranian government is facing monthly losses of $3 billion a month because of lost oil sales. The Iranian government budget is $38 billion a month, so that lost oil income is a major problem for cash-strapped Iran.
Because the Iranian currency is rapidly losing value against foreign currencies, the government budget's buying power outside the country is closer to $25 billion a month. This makes it much more expensive to buy foreign goods.
Much of the budget goes to aid the poor and unemployed (who got that way largely because of the corruption and economic mismanagement of the religious dictatorship). Money must also be lavished on the quarter of the population who support the ruling clerics. Many Iranians are already feeling the pinch and they are not happy. </b>
5/ July 11, 2012: The government warned media to not report on how the sanctions are hurting. That will slow down, but not stop, the spread of such news.
<b>Plenty of information on sanction-related suffering is spreading within Iran (via cell phones, Internet and plain old person-to-person gossip) and getting out of the country. There it is collected, often reinterpreted in interesting ways, and finds its way back into Iran via the Internet and illegal satellite TV and shortwave radio. This government ban is backfiring, because it confirms all the rumors, including the exaggerated and untrue ones. </b>