Chinook's EUR/USD (E/$)Mumblings

Quote from gartley222:

Are you guys trading by the days, hours, minutes, or all?

Mostly seconds and minutes on my scalps, then hours on slower times .. day only if I go on some perceived very good position entry.
 
When a move that started off very good only gave +7 and could have given +30 ... that's when the urge to go blasting in reversing again gets flowing through the veins like some trading drug. That's a good sign to take a little break from the screen again, getting tired at watching a lot.
 
Quote from Gringinho:

When a move that started off very good only gave +7 and could have given +30 ... that's when the urge to go blasting in reversing again gets flowing through the veins like some trading drug. That's a good sign to take a little break from the screen again, getting tired at watching a lot.

Tell me about it! I did that earlier today--several times! I was long at 1.3210 (March) and took profits at 42. Then revenge trading began!

I suggest that you go and wash your face with very cold water :)

Edit: I made a "proper" short at 78(March) and I will follow my screen/system. Now this time, my demons are telling me that all the good moves are finished today and to take my 9 ticks profits!

I tell you, sometimes I think a monkey can trade better than me by just typing randomly at the keyboard :) I'm my biggest enemy :)

Joking ahead, definetely I can make more money ( lose less), if I traded randomly by flipping a coin and entering short/long with 10 ticks stop and 20 ticks target.



 
I think a reverse is here at mid-low 60s .. I got in for a measly 3 ticks .. it then went a little higher still - of course. I think 60s is a low because of USDJPY correlation.

That is in the short-short term of things of course. I couldn't stay away for long - especially when it added insult to injury and went almost 40 ticks on the last move where I picked the top perfectly.

That is the contrarian in me talking, so it doesn't make for any good positions most of the time.
 
I'll trail my short, it's at b/e now. Yes it might bounce from here but if it doesn't we might see another free fall...

Edit: This is why I want to go mechanical. I don't want to make these top/bottom decisions and then start revenge trading with high leverage.

 
Quote from chinook:

Tell me about it! I did that earlier today--several times! I was long at 1.3210 (March) and took profits at 42. Then revenge trading began!

I suggest that you go and wash your face with very cold water :)

Edit: I made a "proper" short at 78(March) and I will follow my screen/system. Now this time, my demons are telling me that all the good moves are finished today and to take my 9 ticks profits!

I tell you, sometimes I think a monkey can trade better than me by just typing randomly at the keyboard :) I'm my biggest enemy :)

Joking ahead, definetely I can make more money ( lose less), if I traded randomly by flipping a coin and entering short/long with 10 ticks stop and 20 ticks target.

That is how the trading bug races through the pants ... uneasy trading and uneasy losses; wretched uncertainties.

Indiscriminate trading on back of previous results is bad, I cut the last trade very quickly because I got an incomplete fill - that made me annoyed and I just got out at "first chance".
:)

Still +10 on 2 trades is better than a negative. I have been very careful today - and let the big moves play out - and actually waited some reaction to oil inventories, silly me ... it had all been played out before hand. Not the main reason for today's move - just mingled in there.
 
Quote from Gringinho:

That is how the trading bug races through the pants ... uneasy trading and uneasy losses; wretched uncertainties.

Indiscriminate trading on back of previous results is bad, I cut the last trade very quickly because I got an incomplete fill - that made me annoyed and I just got out at "first chance".
:)

...

This is the problem with discretionary trading. There is no 100% perfection. There'll be always emotions boiling. Some days when I make great $$$, I'm usually down mentally because I only made 50% off what I could! It usually creeps up on me that evening and effects next day's trading. Terrible mind games....
 
Quote from chinook:

This is the problem with discretionary trading. There is no 100% perfection. There'll be always emotions boiling. Some days when I make great $$$, I'm usually down because I only made 50% off what I could! Terrible mind games....

Yes, I'm pretty convinced that the EURUSD will go up some from 60s here ... but that's pretty simplistic - based on JPYUSD charts and EURUSD charts.

It does seem like a little range - and some caution, exhaustion after big moves and european close.

edit: 60s mentioned here are on 6EH5 - the march contract which is spot EURUSD +10 pips.

edit2: seems like I have a good hunch-sensor today, but am too tired to exploit it. My stomach now needs a refill - as hunger is the thing bothering it. Better throw in some tacos and a lot of jalapeños to hurt it some more.
:D
That will at least give me a little mind-rest.
 
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