Quote from Gringinho:
From Deutsche Bank:
EUR/USD: Top-pickers âlast standâ
EUR USD (1.2975) Below-consensus European growth figures and encouraging economic data from the US were not able to put the euro under any lasting pressure on Friday. Although it flirted briefly with 1.2875, the risk-reward limit of our latest bullish scenario, the single-currency recovered by the end of the session to close some 100-pips higher. In Asia this morning, it peaked at 1.2995. The current target remains at 1.3110. Fridayâs price development suggests that day-traders had again played the short side development. However, despite the short-squeeze, we doubt that these short-term bears will have really thrown in the towel. In our last report we went to great lengths to explain why they would be tempted to try and sell once more near $1.30. Indeed, the euroâs rejection from within a whisker of this level in Asia this morning could already have represented the first of the short-term offers. We do not believe that such supply is capable of turning the trend around. The importance of this prediction is that, if the price moves to a new alltime high, one can be confident that it will do so with a sizeable contingent of short-term bears aboard. Hence, another squeeze will be likely. For the time being, we leave the risk reward limit to the bullish strategy unchanged. However, once the previous 1.3005 summit is overtaken, (and presumably, the short-squeeze is underway) one could comfortably tighten it to 1.2920.