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[18:26 EUR/USD: Steady As She Goes in 40-Pip Range] Boston, September 14: About all that can be said for EUR/USD is that base bids have been raised to 1.2250 this afternoon from 1.2225 this morning. Softish US data was a clear dollar negative but the EUR has its own problems and dealers, having succumbed to too many head-fakes to the topside, remain extremely cautious about buying EUR/USD on strength. Current account jitters are losing clout with dealers (as evidenced by the limited reactions to Friday"s trade data and this morning"s record C/A account) but that could change later in the week. Treasury TIC data is due for release on Thursday, and as always, dealers will scour the data for any signs that foreign appetites for US investments in waning. Until 1.2310/25 is cleared, fireworks are likely to remain few and far between. EUR/USD trades at 1.2260.
[19:49 GMT September 14] EUR/USD was unable to reclaim the 1.23 handle today despite a run of US economic data that looked like a sure catalyst for a softer dollar. US retail sales fell more than expected in August (-0.3% but an upward revision to July cushioned the blow) while IBD/TIPP consumer sentiment fell and the current account deficit ballooned to over $166 bln. Commercial selling by the ECB helped limit gains while Asian sellers were rumored as well. Asian buyers were seen on dips to 1.2250 during the New York afternoon. Large 1.2300 expiries are noted tomorrow and may help limit any rise much beyond recent highs at 1.2310. Dealers note continued talk of Middle Eastern and Asian offers in the 1.2310/25 zone. They should also help limit dips, as well. Dealers were reluctant to buy EUR/USD strength today owing to the big drop in the ZEW investor confidence measure this morning. Those inhibitions will likely fade however if the price action firms as a hugely USD-bearish bias continues to loom over the market. TIC data on Thursday could be a catalyst if signs emerge of difficulty in the US funding of its current account deficit.
[18:51 GMT September 14th] [EUR/USD] Bids at 1.2250, 1.2225, & 1.2205; Offers at 1.2310 & 1.2325. Mid East and Asian sellers seen on rallies.
[19:08 GMT September 14th] [EUR/JPY] Stops at 133.80.
[18:49 GMT September 14th] [USD/JPY] Small stops at 109.30, 109.20, 109.10 and 109.00 but importer bids remain ahead of 109.00.