Quote from trade-ya1:
Thanks for your reply. While I agree that there is some short-term correlation between oil and all the other world markets (including EUR), I would offer that the overall and intermediate/longer term correlation is very weak. With that said, at this point in time, I would not want to be positioned in something that responds favorably when oil prices move lower. That is another trend not worth fighting. Scalping against the direction of the long-term trend is like pissing into the wind. You might get away with it, but sooner or later, you're going to get pee'd on. Anyway, I agree that 1.2380 seems to be resistance at this moment, however, it will soon get taken out and then it will become support. Nothing special about 1.2380. Best, Neal.