Chinook's EUR/USD (E/$)Mumblings

Quote from Gringinho:

Deutsche Bank comments that they think daytraders will be very careful today. That's my impression too. I think we can see very choppy conditions because of uncertainty of the substance in this rally. Oil and the double deficits are the usual suspects, but now we also have corporate hedgers and a whole dustbin of rumours.

Point is, we probably will not see that much of a trendy move during the US RTH session. That's no surprise with the giant move during the asian session and pre-market asian gap even. US names will have the whole political uncertainty with an election which seems to be starting out like a lawsuit outta hell, as well as doubts about how strong the US economy and growth is - enough to curb the recent onslaught ? Popular talk lately involves a lot more USD bashing.

I have been programming and tweaking all weekend, even all night until now. I think I will wait almost until the european close for some clues ... this market needs to mature to these levels - at least in my head. :)
90-60 mins before the european close will be my focus, with a passtime of reading analysis and comments until then.


Thomson are long from 1.2803 with target 1.2930 and 1.2740 stop .. Thomson and DB both say that a 1.30s are very likely to be explored soon.

I'm in waiting mode here too. I'm also getting choppy mode signals.
 
Quote from Gringinho:

Deutsche Bank comments that they think daytraders will be very careful today. That's my impression too. I think we can see very choppy conditions because of uncertainty of the substance in this rally. Oil and the double deficits are the usual suspects, but now we also have corporate hedgers and a whole dustbin of rumours.

Point is, we probably will not see that much of a trendy move during the US RTH session. That's no surprise with the giant move during the asian session and pre-market asian gap even. US names will have the whole political uncertainty with an election which seems to be starting out like a lawsuit outta hell, as well as doubts about how strong the US economy and growth is - enough to curb the recent onslaught ? Popular talk lately involves a lot more USD bashing.

I have been programming and tweaking all weekend, even all night until now. I think I will wait almost until the european close for some clues ... this market needs to mature to these levels - at least in my head. :)
90-60 mins before the european close will be my focus, with a passtime of reading analysis and comments until then.


Thomson are long from 1.2803 with target 1.2930 and 1.2740 stop .. Thomson and DB both say that a 1.30s are very likely to be explored soon.

2740 stop will be taken out.
 
Quote from jbt:

2740 stop will be taken out.

Hehe, I don't know which one will be taken out first, although I'd say it seems easier to go a little down now than busting upwards even more.
I am long on spot FX demo from this level. There is some hesitant trading seen here, and I just want to stay away for a little ... from these crimson waters.

It is indeed very choppy during RTH start today, and very tight too. This indicated the bewilderness domination markets now, and we need some Fed-statements, hard numbers or something to feed on.

Last night/this morning I took a good look at 1h and bigger charts ... doesn't look for $.

edit:
I'm literally falling asleep over my keyboard, and am worried I can be dreaming part of what seems "reality" and "thoughts" mixed toghether. Will let my demo long trade stay with a slight 1.28-target ...
Otherwise the tight ranges has not offered any good opportunities, and I have seen a very few possibly ok trades.
 
Quote from chinook:

We're either chopping here or making a local bottom. Now I have a slight long bias.


We will fall back to 2700. MMakers need to buy back the shorts they printed all night long.
 
Quote from jbt:

We will fall back to 2700. MMakers need to buy back the shorts they printed all night long.

I'll be surprised if we make such a move during the current US session. Maybe overnight or tomorrow. I think we're confined here between 1.2765-1.2820 for the current session....
 
Quote from chinook:

I'll be surprised if we make such a move during the current US session. Maybe overnight or tomorrow. I think we're confined here between 1.2765-1.2820 for the current session....

Y agreed. May take 24-36 hours to happen - UNLESS we just get rolled over by hedgies wanting to take out all time highs.
 
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