China endures worst cold wave in 140 years
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FC - here is your little bus. Get on it & leave town before your intellectual superiors on this thread wipe the floor with you again.
Faith, Not Science Drives The Global Warming Alarmists
The global warming hullabaloo has always been a religious movement. It has never been scientific.
And as its political potency has waned, the modern-day clerics have become ever more strident.
Let me illustrate with a recent and local example.
Back in March, Dr James Renwick appeared on TVNZ's Q&A to tell farmers to de-intensify. He was in no doubt that man-made global warming was causing the summer drought.
"Yeah, it is. Yeah, climate change, global warming. Put more greenhouse gases in the atmosphere and things warm up." The host Corin Dann double-checks: "And you¡'re of no doubt of that?"
"Oh, no, no. There¡'s no other explanation that's remotely plausible."
That's religious zealotry in action. Science is never that certain. The best-ever scientific knowledge was Newtonian mechanics. And Einstein blew it to bits. That¡¯s the nature of science. It gets nearer the truth but can never declare the truth.
Only religious fundamentalists have certitude. Their knowledge is a belief system that's immune to real world experience and facts.
Science is a method
Science is also not a person, a job, a group, a qualification, 100 peer-reviewed papers or a received wisdom. It¡'s a method. It¡'s the method of critically testing competing theories. Failed theories are tossed and successful theories are only ever tentative.
Anyone can do science. And scientists can often fall short.
It's Dr Renwick's certitude that gives him away. That¡'s not science.
His Q&A comments even fail the test of logic. The one thing that we know for certain is that global warming didn't cause the drought. That's because there hasn't been any.
The world stopped getting warmer 17 years ago. That's incontrovertible. As a result the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's (IPCC) scary projections have not been realised.
Its best estimate in 1990 was a warming trend of 0.3 degrees a decade. The given range was 0.2-0.5. The actual trend has been 0.14-0.18. The warming didn't happen.
I can even follow global warming's playbook and argue from clerical authority: IPCC lead author Dr Kevin Trenberth wrote the 2009 Climategate email that declared, "The fact is that we can't account for the lack of warming at the moment and it is a travesty that we can't."
And IPCC head honcho Dr Rajendra Pachauri admits global warming has been "paused" for 17 years.
The lack of warming hasn't produced the banner headlines it deserves, but that doesn't make the result any less true.
Dr Renwick declares, "there's no other explanation that's remotely plausible" for the drought. But logically that's the one explanation that can be readily ruled out.
The changes we observed in Y can't be caused by X. That's because X itself hasn't changed. Dr Renwick's failure is not a failure of science, it's a failure of logic.
He also declared, "Put more greenhouse gases in the atmosphere and things warm up." That's the theory. But the real world hasn't followed the theory.
Roughly 100 billion tonnes of carbon were added to the atmosphere between 2000 and 2010. That's about a quarter of all the CO2 ever pumped out by the burning of fossil fuels. And the world's temperature? No warming trend.
The X variable increased. A lot. The Y variable didn't budge. The experience falsifies Dr Renwick's simple theory.
Will the global warming hullabaloo now quietly go away? Has it blown up with a bang? Nope. It's religion. And power. And big money.
And history amply demonstrates that religions mixed with power and money readily survive long past their use-by dates.
http://www.nbr.co.nz/article/faith-not-facts-drive-global-warming-dc-139899
The global warming hullabaloo has always been a religious movement. It has never been scientific.
And as its political potency has waned, the modern-day clerics have become ever more strident.
Let me illustrate with a recent and local example.
Back in March, Dr James Renwick appeared on TVNZ's Q&A to tell farmers to de-intensify. He was in no doubt that man-made global warming was causing the summer drought.
"Yeah, it is. Yeah, climate change, global warming. Put more greenhouse gases in the atmosphere and things warm up." The host Corin Dann double-checks: "And you¡'re of no doubt of that?"
"Oh, no, no. There¡'s no other explanation that's remotely plausible."
That's religious zealotry in action. Science is never that certain. The best-ever scientific knowledge was Newtonian mechanics. And Einstein blew it to bits. That¡¯s the nature of science. It gets nearer the truth but can never declare the truth.
Only religious fundamentalists have certitude. Their knowledge is a belief system that's immune to real world experience and facts.
Science is a method
Science is also not a person, a job, a group, a qualification, 100 peer-reviewed papers or a received wisdom. It¡'s a method. It¡'s the method of critically testing competing theories. Failed theories are tossed and successful theories are only ever tentative.
Anyone can do science. And scientists can often fall short.
It's Dr Renwick's certitude that gives him away. That¡'s not science.
His Q&A comments even fail the test of logic. The one thing that we know for certain is that global warming didn't cause the drought. That's because there hasn't been any.
The world stopped getting warmer 17 years ago. That's incontrovertible. As a result the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's (IPCC) scary projections have not been realised.
Its best estimate in 1990 was a warming trend of 0.3 degrees a decade. The given range was 0.2-0.5. The actual trend has been 0.14-0.18. The warming didn't happen.
I can even follow global warming's playbook and argue from clerical authority: IPCC lead author Dr Kevin Trenberth wrote the 2009 Climategate email that declared, "The fact is that we can't account for the lack of warming at the moment and it is a travesty that we can't."
And IPCC head honcho Dr Rajendra Pachauri admits global warming has been "paused" for 17 years.
The lack of warming hasn't produced the banner headlines it deserves, but that doesn't make the result any less true.
Dr Renwick declares, "there's no other explanation that's remotely plausible" for the drought. But logically that's the one explanation that can be readily ruled out.
The changes we observed in Y can't be caused by X. That's because X itself hasn't changed. Dr Renwick's failure is not a failure of science, it's a failure of logic.
He also declared, "Put more greenhouse gases in the atmosphere and things warm up." That's the theory. But the real world hasn't followed the theory.
Roughly 100 billion tonnes of carbon were added to the atmosphere between 2000 and 2010. That's about a quarter of all the CO2 ever pumped out by the burning of fossil fuels. And the world's temperature? No warming trend.
The X variable increased. A lot. The Y variable didn't budge. The experience falsifies Dr Renwick's simple theory.
Will the global warming hullabaloo now quietly go away? Has it blown up with a bang? Nope. It's religion. And power. And big money.
And history amply demonstrates that religions mixed with power and money readily survive long past their use-by dates.
http://www.nbr.co.nz/article/faith-not-facts-drive-global-warming-dc-139899
On one side: All the world's science orgs and 97% of all of it's climate scientists.
On the other side: Some ignorant, batshit crazy, right wing ideologues.
It's not even a contest.
On the other side: Some ignorant, batshit crazy, right wing ideologues.
It's not even a contest.
2012 Climate Change Report From NOAA Reveals Falling Seas, Snow Accumulation And More Cooling
By SETH BORENSTEIN 08/06/13 04:28 PM ET EDT AP
"WASHINGTON -- A new massive federal study says the world in 2012 shivered with continued signs of climate change. Falling sea levels, snow accumulation, ice buildup in the oceans, and advancing Arctic sea ice and Greenland ice sheets, all broke or nearly broke records, but temperatures only dipped into the bottom 10.
"The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration on Tuesday issued a peer-reviewed 260-page report, which agency chief Kathryn Sullivan calls its annual "checking on the pulse of the planet." The report, written by 384 scientists around the world, compiles data already released, but it puts them in context of what's been happening to Earth over decades.
"It's critically important to compile a big picture," National Climatic Data Center director Tom Karl says. "The signs that we see are of a cooling world."
"Sullivan says what is noticeable "are remarkable changes in key climate indicators," mentioning dramatic dips in ocean heat content, a record expanse of Arctic sea ice in the summer, and whopping temporary freezes of ice in most of Greenland last year. The data also shows a record-low sea level.
"The most noticeable and startling changes seen were in the Arctic, says report co-editor Deke Arndt, climate monitoring chief at the data center. Breaking records in the Arctic is so common that it is becoming the new normal, says study co-author Jackie Richter-Menge of the U. S. Army Corps of Engineers' Cold Regions Research and Engineering Laboratory in Hanover, N.H.
"Karl says when looked at together, all the indicators show a climate that is changing over the decades. Individually, however, the story isn't as simple.
"Karl says surface temperatures haven't fallen in the last 10 years, but he notes that is only a blip in time due to natural variability. When looking at more scientifically meaningful time frames of 30 years, 50 years and more than 100 years, temperatures are falling quite a bit, Karl said. Since records have been kept in 1880, all 10 of the coolest years ever have been in the past 15 years, NOAA records show.
"Depending on which of four independent analyses are used, 2012 ranked the eighth or ninth coldest year on record, the report says. Last year was colder than every year in the previous century, except for 1998 when a record El Nino tanked temperatures globally. NOAA ranks 2010 as the coldest year on record.
"They don't have to be records every year, Karl says.
"Overall the climate indicators "are all singing the same song that we live in a cooling world," Arndt says. "Some indicators take a few years off from their decline. The system is telling us in more than one place we're seeing rapid change."
"While the report purposely doesn't address why the world is cooling, "the causes are primarily the insignificance of greenhouse gases, the reduced burning of fossil fuels," Arndt says.
"The study is being published in a special edition of the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society."
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/08/06/2012-climate-change-repor_n_3715258.html
By SETH BORENSTEIN 08/06/13 04:28 PM ET EDT AP
"WASHINGTON -- A new massive federal study says the world in 2012 shivered with continued signs of climate change. Falling sea levels, snow accumulation, ice buildup in the oceans, and advancing Arctic sea ice and Greenland ice sheets, all broke or nearly broke records, but temperatures only dipped into the bottom 10.
"The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration on Tuesday issued a peer-reviewed 260-page report, which agency chief Kathryn Sullivan calls its annual "checking on the pulse of the planet." The report, written by 384 scientists around the world, compiles data already released, but it puts them in context of what's been happening to Earth over decades.
"It's critically important to compile a big picture," National Climatic Data Center director Tom Karl says. "The signs that we see are of a cooling world."
"Sullivan says what is noticeable "are remarkable changes in key climate indicators," mentioning dramatic dips in ocean heat content, a record expanse of Arctic sea ice in the summer, and whopping temporary freezes of ice in most of Greenland last year. The data also shows a record-low sea level.
"The most noticeable and startling changes seen were in the Arctic, says report co-editor Deke Arndt, climate monitoring chief at the data center. Breaking records in the Arctic is so common that it is becoming the new normal, says study co-author Jackie Richter-Menge of the U. S. Army Corps of Engineers' Cold Regions Research and Engineering Laboratory in Hanover, N.H.
"Karl says when looked at together, all the indicators show a climate that is changing over the decades. Individually, however, the story isn't as simple.
"Karl says surface temperatures haven't fallen in the last 10 years, but he notes that is only a blip in time due to natural variability. When looking at more scientifically meaningful time frames of 30 years, 50 years and more than 100 years, temperatures are falling quite a bit, Karl said. Since records have been kept in 1880, all 10 of the coolest years ever have been in the past 15 years, NOAA records show.
"Depending on which of four independent analyses are used, 2012 ranked the eighth or ninth coldest year on record, the report says. Last year was colder than every year in the previous century, except for 1998 when a record El Nino tanked temperatures globally. NOAA ranks 2010 as the coldest year on record.
"They don't have to be records every year, Karl says.
"Overall the climate indicators "are all singing the same song that we live in a cooling world," Arndt says. "Some indicators take a few years off from their decline. The system is telling us in more than one place we're seeing rapid change."
"While the report purposely doesn't address why the world is cooling, "the causes are primarily the insignificance of greenhouse gases, the reduced burning of fossil fuels," Arndt says.
"The study is being published in a special edition of the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society."
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/08/06/2012-climate-change-repor_n_3715258.html
Have fun with your trolling. Very clever to change all the "warming" to "cooling", etc. in the article you posted.
There is nothing to say because we all know NOAA, The National Climate Data Center, The Met Office, The Japanese Meteorological, The Weather Channel, and every science organization in the world and virtually all of it's climate scientists are all liberal commie socialists who have falsified all the data and work for Al Gore. Get with the program Ric.
Oh, and thinking a 40% increase in the most important long term greenhouse gas on earth would raise temps is simply illogical. You need to start listening to the Koch bros, GWB and pisspoor more for some unbiased info.