Can We Talk About Entries

Quote from Flashboy:

Thanks Forex,

One more question if you don't mind..

Do you find the pullbacks less reliable if they are coming off of a resistance or support area??

I have one setup I look for which is a pullback to the 20 period EMA.. but I find the signal very unreliable when the market is pulling back after hitting a resistance area.. so in these instances I would skip the trade..
They are less reliable if coming off a major support/resistance level. I still take the trade though. I don't care. The problem with trading pullbacks to a moving average is that the retracement may be deeper than you'd think it should be, or sometimes it won't even touch the moving average. So you can end up missing out on a lot of opportunities.
 
Flash, the market was range-bound when you attempted entries 1,2 & 3. Also, your focus on double tops/bottoms indicates that you're trying to pick tops and bottoms.

Wouldn't you increase your odds for success if you took your trades when the market is in a strong trend (e.g. 1300-1400 hrs on 10Nov ) ?
 
"if anyone has any criticism please speak up"

Flash....

2-3+ years later you are still trading on technical analysis? Do you know anyone who makes a good consistent living trading that way? I don't. I DO know guys who have failed trading TA. Don't get sucked into that trap. TA makes sense, but it doesn't usually work and by no means is it a way to make a living imo.
 
Quote from EchoPatrick:

amazing, but it has taken me many years to understand that EXITS and risk management are the keys to success as a trader in the market. flip a coin, and apply your exit method and risk control consistently and you are ahead of most in this industry. defining how you are going to exit is where backtesting capabilities are essential. and by no means, am i real good at this but i am working on it.

patrick


Quote from illiquid:

I'm on the opposite side of this view, given that we are individual traders and not market makers/specialists that need to be "always in". For me it's all about the entry: when and where you decide to begin exposing your account to risk. The ideal exit is just the reverse of the entry, but alas, we are not always given ideal exits after we have opened positions (as opposed to entries where it's all up to us).

The more I trade the more I come to the conclusion that trading is all about exits and risk management, just as Patrick says.

Although I agree that we as retail traders control when and where we begin exposing our account to risk, the main problem with entries is that we can control what the market does prior to entry, but not what it does once we're in the trade. So, yes, we should be selective in our entries (i.e. not trading just because we have to trade), but we should not obsess about entries, rather obsess about exits and risk management.

Illiquid, you're right, we are not always given ideal exits, but an exit is what stands between a profitable trade and a losing trade!

Just my 2 cents.
Cheers.
 
Quote from Dustin:

"if anyone has any criticism please speak up"

Flash....

2-3+ years later you are still trading on technical analysis? Do you know anyone who makes a good consistent living trading that way? I don't. I DO know guys who have failed trading TA. Don't get sucked into that trap. TA makes sense, but it doesn't usually work and by no means is it a way to make a living imo.

I've known Flash for a long time here at ET.

Technical Analysis is not his problem.

He has too many other problems outside of TA that's causing him to be concerned with his trading.

Not trying to start an argument but if you would read any of his past posts especially the ones where he discloses what's going on in his personal life...

You'll quickly realize it has nothing to do with TA by itself.

By the way...I know many making a living trading via TA and they aren't some online annonymous alias.

However, these retail and pro traders aren't using the typical trading tools that many charting programs try to saturate new traders with.

Too many traders spend too much time in trying to put the blame on some method instead of looking at their own personality as they interact with the markets.

Mark
(a.k.a. NihabaAshi) Japanese Candlestick term
 
Quote from Flashboy:

I seldom see talk on here about actual trading strategies...

Being a struggling trader.. if anyone has any criticism please speak up..

Hi Flash,

There's something more important that needs to be said to you and it has nothing to do with some of the recent threads here at ET where traders have discussed the specifics of an entry signal that's applicable to ER2, ES, NQ or YM.

I really don't understand why your even still looking at charts or trying to trade after all what's been going on in your personal life...especially recently.

Some traders (very experience traders) in the recent past strongly advised you to take a break from trading...

Including me.

Simply, your not mentally ready to be interacting with the markets right now.

Flash...take some time off from trading at the minimum of one year...

No trading, no analyzing charts, cancel all your subscriptions (data vendors, charting programs et cetera).

Attempting to use the markets to heal yourself psychologically will only cause more frustration, stress or worst.

Mark
(a.k.a. NihabaAshi) Japanese Candlestick term
 
Quote from Flashboy:



#1. We form a double top at the 11:20 bar.. and then the 11:35 bar closes down ..

Would anyone enter short on the closing of this 11:35 bar??

#2. Two hammers are formed at support.. we seem to be in a trading range..
Long Entry here??

#3. We came off of a Double top but at #2 we formed a Higher Low.. the market shows a reversal bar at 13:00.. but the market then drifts sideways..
This is a buy signal to me at #3..

Can you honestly say that you spotted #1-3 at the actual time of them happening? To me that would be almost to good to be true. If you did can you explain further how you did that? An how did you avoid all the other signals of similar kind that day?
 
nice. could you post a chart?


Quote from forextrades:

I just enter on pullbacks in the direction of a trend. I define trend using a simple oscillator that's based off of the slope of a moving average. I then use Stochs (5,3,3) to look for pullbacks. When the stochs are below 30, I'm looking for longs. When they're above 70, I'm looking for shorts. I don't wait for them to cross up/down. I just confirm the entries by using simple candlestick patterns.
 
and with what kind of analysis do you trade?


Quote from Dustin:

"if anyone has any criticism please speak up"

Flash....

2-3+ years later you are still trading on technical analysis? Do you know anyone who makes a good consistent living trading that way? I don't. I DO know guys who have failed trading TA. Don't get sucked into that trap. TA makes sense, but it doesn't usually work and by no means is it a way to make a living imo.
 
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