I don't even understand the question. Is it about buying calls in coffee?
If that is the question/comment, the answer is simple. If you buy vol and it goes higher, you make money. If you sell vol and it goes lower you make money. And vice versa on losing money.
China drinking more or not is not the core issue. It is whether that factor and others has been taken into consideration by current vol, and whether the real vol is realized before expiration.
nitro
If that is the question/comment, the answer is simple. If you buy vol and it goes higher, you make money. If you sell vol and it goes lower you make money. And vice versa on losing money.
China drinking more or not is not the core issue. It is whether that factor and others has been taken into consideration by current vol, and whether the real vol is realized before expiration.
nitro
Quote from Derivman:
Hi, I am new to the site and it looks like a made a few mistakes already. I am sorry if I offended anyone as I did not mean to post off topic in another thread. As a result I have started my own thread as I am looking for some guidance on trading commodities. With all the hype about China and how much coffee they are starting to drink, I thought it might be a good time to start speculating in the coffee market. I will copy over some of my comments from the other thread as I have written them already. I hope I can learn something of value here and also give something back to others who may ask in the future. Cheers.
Derivman