BTC $500k, ETH $42k, ChainLink $1,400

So its obvious that I know 1% of what you do when it comes to crypto, but I feel that its intuitive that there will be a breaking point somewhere. I know that even 50k seems insane, and yet here we are.

But to be honest, something about this doesn't seem right. If the price can just plummet like it recently did, how thin is this market? Sure you can say most coins are in cold storage, but what kind of asset is this if it can be kicked around by a small group of players? The fact that there is supposedly so much buying every week and every month, why isn't the uptrend consistent and unrelenting? It just seems like BTC can absorb supposedly so much buying by institutions and private individuals, and price doesn't move much, but on some random day, its down 20%. I do not think that it should move the way it does if there is consistent accumulation.

Clearly there is trading happening from both sides, but currently, the trading seems to be a bigger thing than the accumulation. I keep reading how there are many people who will never sell, and then I keep reading how scarce it is, how some miners event aren't selling, and yet, price has gone sideways for over a month. Real Estate is clearly something that is being accumulated and we see that reflect in the price because there is hardly a dip. But this crypto business is something different.

I do not like it when bitcoin goes down. I agree with you that the market is thin and btc is volatile, as such, I do not attempt to trade in-and-out of bitcoin

However, over a long time period, bitcoin goes up in value. For me, buy & hold is a much easier method to reap the benefits of investing in bitcoin
 
For me, it's not about the impact on USD, it's about what the Government wants people to do with their money.

BTC going from $47k ($0.75tn) to $1m ($16tn) would mean an awful lot of money going where the Government doesn't want it to go.

To get to that price, we will need a massive increase in bitcoin adoption

Currently, only 46M people in the US own btc and over 120M(?) worldwide

I believe the estimated number of btc owners needed to reach $1M/btc is ~3B worldwide

The estimated number of btc owners worldwide to reach $500K/btc is ~1B worldwide which based on the current growth could be reached in 2-3 years

The money is not all coming from US folks
 
The money is not all coming from US folks

True but most Governments and central banks around the world are anti-bitcoin.

I'm not saying they will do anything about it but they certainly won't like it soaking up trillions of dollars that has no economic benefit.
 
True but most Governments and central banks around the world are anti-bitcoin.

I'm not saying they will do anything about it but they certainly won't like it soaking up trillions of dollars that has no economic benefit.
it has economic benefits. it makes international trade easier to facilitate...and just because governments don't mint it, doesn't mean they can't control it.

hard to understand without knowledge about payment processes, I know but that's the way it is
 
I wonder how many remember that Bitcoin was powerful even when it was seen as an illegal thing, and mostly traded in anonymous exchanges like btc-e, or overpriced p2p sites like localbitcoin.


During those times as a clandestine, it went from nothing to 600$ a piece.

Today, it's taxed, it has derivatives and you can find it in many serious investor's portfolio.

If one government will shut it down, another one will welcome it with open arms.

I am all in favour of crypto and long.

My only fear, as I fear governments like the plague, is if the biggest whale, was some country like China or Russia, and used it a destabilising weapon against plenty of western investor by removing the rug under our feet during the perfect storm.
 
it has economic benefits.

Try convincing the US Govt or the Fed of that! Or pretty much any other Government on the planet for that matter.

There are plenty of ways that the Govt could kill off crypto. I won't mention them here just in case. ;)
 
Try convincing the US Govt or the Fed of that! Or pretty much any other Government on the planet for that matter.

There are plenty of ways that the Govt could kill off crypto. I won't mention them here just in case. ;)
you dont understand. They already ARE convinced and in the process of using crypto to their advantage. Open your eyes man
 
you dont understand. They already ARE convinced and in the process of using crypto to their advantage. Open your eyes man

Maybe but they'll never support BTC, ETH etc. They will not want trillions of dollars going into bitcoin over the next few years.
 
Maybe but they'll never support BTC, ETH etc. They will not want trillions of dollars going into bitcoin over the next few years.
Ah yeah? El Salvador anyone?
Unfortunately there are already trillions of dollars in coins
 
Ah yeah? El Salvador anyone?
Unfortunately there are already trillions of dollars in coins

In the grand scheme of things, El Salvador is irrelevant. It's just a tiny poor country in Central America.

Trillions, really? BTC is by far the biggest, and that's only 0.75 trillion.

I get it. You want BTC to go to the moon. I'm just saying Uncle Sam might have other ideas.
 
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