BTC $500k, ETH $42k, ChainLink $1,400

How could they touch or crack down a few strings of alphanumeric characters that I own on a piece of paper, usb or in my head?
They should turn off the internet too to stop me from exchanging it.
They know that, that's why they are slowly adapting to it.

No need to touch BTC. All it would take is to remove ponzi stable coins, price would plummet to levels no one can imagine . I hope many here know that 70% of crypto trading happening in Tethers. Very easy to pump anything with monopoly money and 0 regulation.
 
In the grand scheme of things, El Salvador is irrelevant. It's just a tiny poor country in Central America.

Trillions, really? BTC is by far the biggest, and that's only 0.75 trillion.

I get it. You want BTC to go to the moon. I'm just saying Uncle Sam might have other ideas.

I think this video might help to explain some things in detail. Dan Tapiero is a good ambassador for the crypto space as he has deep connections to the old wall street people

As far as wanting btc to go to the moon, yes, of course, but do take into account that the people who are in the crypto space for some time, have made massive fortunes.

Many would be quite satisfied if btc stays at this level for years or maybe even doubles at the most. The goal now is to keep the wealth, or at least protect the value from being debased through CB money printing


"Crypto is the First Truly Global Macro Investment"

The video starts a little bit more than 1/3rd of the way but you can restart to the beginning if you like



 
At the moment it's not massively on the radar but at some point "$X trillion held in bitcoin" may be a problem that they decide needs fixing.
Mate, are you living under a rock? Crypto is massively on the radar, there are new laws and regulations coming out every second month for over a year now, the EU is setting up MICA, I haven't seen so much action from the regulators since dotCom.

I don't know how you would imagine this to happen? "We don't like crypto so that's why we make it illegal?" Lord, no, this stuff is way to powerful for AML and the IRS.

I can promise you that you'll have a wallet that is registered with the IRS which you can use to buy and sell crypto through a public key that they have an eye on. They will look at each of your transaction no matter where you are in the world. I give that 5 years
 
At the end of the day, you're just another random dude on the internet trying to sell us your crystal ball. Crytpo has no intrinsic value. You could be right, or it could go to 0. 10 years later u still cant go to walmart to spend your bitcoin or ETh.

1 billion users in crypto by 2024 ? Thats 1 in 7 people in the entire world. Just b/c you invested in crypto and were successful and its currently trendy doesnt mean everyone is going to eventually catch on. And definitely not the boomers

except i told everyone to go balls deep on Bitcoin in January 2019 ($3,500)

and then i went balls deep on Ethereum January 2020 ($155)

and now im balls deep in DeFi as well

they arent crystal balls you're just another 60/40 portfolio guy who missed out on gains and is too lazy to do the hard work
 
you just got lucky and congrats on that.

you do realize crypto prices are a mirage perpetrated by Tethers. 70 percent of volume are in tethers, aka ponzi. What is real price of BTC then?

i'm up to prophecy call #24 that is correct . Solana gave 18.3x on BTC invested (i.e. you invest 0.1 BTC into it, you got 1.83 BTC back) when i made the call .. all of these are free on twitter , i make nothing off them, sharing to thee world for free .

its not luck im here 18hrs a day, 7 days a week . theres edge & lots of alpha here. i give it away for free

P.S. Michael Saylor owns 105,000 Bitcoin that he bought off CoinBase and is still accumulating. tether FUD is from 2017 and 2018 and it repeated every 3 months. Elon Musk bought $1 billion of Bitcoin.

Tether fud is old and recycled just like the other 15 news stories that get put on repeat to scare ppl to sell so the whales can accumulate

upload_2021-9-16_10-51-35.png
 
You definitely have the right idea. Just looking at the complete history chart of Bitcoin, you would have to be a damn fool to say it's going anywhere but up. I also believe Ethereum has a very good chance of passing Bitcoin. There are many good things that are already happening and that are going to happen with Ether.

I just don't think Bitcoin has the potential to be used as a worldwide currency. I think it's more of a store of value. That's part of the reason I think Ether is a safer bet.

we share the same philosophy...

world Store of Value is smaller than Financial Business + Derivatives layer

Bitcoin is necessary but its upside is capped (although still very big from here) .. and Ethereum + the other smart contract platforms will surpass it over time ..

ive got big bets still holding Ethereum ecosystem long & strong ... at ETH/BTC 0.157 it will have flipped BTC and probably go way beyond it !
 
It's nice to meet you and thank you very much for the post




I really like this bitcoin forecast for this cycle. Quick question, when do you think is the end of this cycle per your model? [i.e. 2nd half of next year]

I agree, base currency of life should be Bitcoin or Ethereum, fiat is getting debased. Lebanon is an extreme example but even the USD is not doing so well when measured against goods and services, and now showing up when measured against investments (stocks, real estate, etc.)

I enjoyed the book "The Bitcoin Standard by Saiifedean Ammous" and it allowed me to view many things in the world in the context of hard money, economic and monetary policies across time

One can never have enough bitcoin, imho

the guess of Bitcoin timing for the end of its bull run , is not one i like to dabble into. i have a wide window. anywhere from October 2021 to Q1 of 2023 ...

i like the stock to flow model. the supply shock seems to have 12-18 months after the Halvening and we're about there now..

one thing I know, you can't go wrong staying Long. hodling & having a very long term view is the best to go

warren buffett always said, the best timeframe to hodl, is forever !!

there's a post i made on twitter where i imagined a scenario that ruins the most amount of people.. it involves a fake-out end of this year, then a Bull Trap next year. details explained;

 
Mate, are you living under a rock? Crypto is massively on the radar, there are new laws and regulations coming out every second month for over a year now, the EU is setting up MICA, I haven't seen so much action from the regulators since dotCom.

I don't know how you would imagine this to happen? "We don't like crypto so that's why we make it illegal?" Lord, no, this stuff is way to powerful for AML and the IRS.

I can promise you that you'll have a wallet that is registered with the IRS which you can use to buy and sell crypto through a public key that they have an eye on. They will look at each of your transaction no matter where you are in the world. I give that 5 years

late adopters only take notice when they follow everyone else.. its the same behaviour of sheep

when the price goes vertical, and the market has priced in the future + adoption.. only Then do they take notice.. at that point its too late and they've missed out on all the gains

as you implied , everyone is coming into Crypto, not the other way around. its because its 100x better than the traditional financial system
 
One of the issues I have with these wild projections (and its not so much that I disagree), but can we imagine for one second what the world will look like if crypto hits these massive valuations? What does that do to the dollar? And if the dollar is trash, what does that do to the country? The government will no longer be able to function if nobody wants to hold USD. Money printing is of course bad, but no money printing will result in a country that has utterly gone to trash.

I just don't think crypto as the main form of currency can co-exist in a world that will be a safe and wonderful place. Governments need to be able to control their currency, even if it means shady stuff happening. If government workers will all end up getting paid one day in BTC or ETH that the government has to source through taxation, since they can't print it, everyone needs to prepare for poverty wages.

Furthermore, as much as free money floating around has been highly inflationary, its also what allows innovation in business and technology. Say goodbye to every tech start-up if money is no longer cheap to borrow or acquire.

Don't get me wrong, I would love some ethics and reality to come back to our financial markets, but it will be devastating if this happens since the world will look much different and be quite hostile in my opinion.


when Bitcoin was $3,500 I told everybody to go all in. when ETH was $155 (eth/btc ratio 0.025) i told everybody to go all in

it was much more wild to expect Ethereum to go 28x in 15 months, which it did (from Jan 2020 to Apr 2020)

the valuations you speak of, do not match to Stonk Markets. crypto currencies are Networks. the market cap is an illusion number. Metcalfe's law:

Network Value = Number of users (Squared)

If you add 10x people, you get 100x market cap increase. this is why crypto goes parabolic on a linear chart. hence why we all chart in Log.

most crypto are actually just the equivalent of "Fin Tech 2.0" . the only "real" threat is Bitcoin. because its a commodity. however, its so valueable that its best used as a store of value. nobody wants to spend it (Greshems law)

Crypto is not meant to battle everyone, its an option. its a police force --> if Governments want to ruin their lower class people with inflation, then they have an option to opt into a better currency with a known Monetary Policy (Bitcoin)

it helps governments compete with each other, and also makes it better for everyone. its a silent protest, and its winning
 
Q: where is ether being used for payments? A: nowhere

bitcoin lightning has now 10k+ channels and it is being used AND it has an actual store of value that everybody wants (El Salvador, hedge funds) underneath it (bitcoin)

bitcoin taproot = smart contracts locked in and getting activated in November. Most altcoins will become redundant by then.

ether is completely overvalued.

Ethereum is nowhere near overvalued, it is undervalued by magnitudes

Bitcoin = Store of Value = Digital Gold narrative ... (the world Store of Value is about $100 trillion to $190 trillion, i forgot which one)

Ethereum = Financial Derivatives Layer of world narrative ... The Market value of Financial Derivatives Layer in the world is $550 trillion

Ethereum has a higher upside (and more risk) than Bitcoin layer. Ethereum at $9,200 would be $1 trillion market cap..

My guess for Ethereum hitting $45k is because I assume that Ethereum can capture just 1% of the World Derivatives Layer... that gives $5 trill market cap or $45,000 price for example
 
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