Brexit
- Thread starter Zr1Trader
- Start date
I believe that British people will vote for exit, these bulls are just manipulations.
I'm long the Pound against the dollar. It's starting to get a little uncomfortable. I listen to all these foreigners trying to talk about American politics. So I wouldn't pretend to know how much of it is just British politics.
Ex President Bank of England calls for end of Euro
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/business...g-forgive-them-their-debts-is-not-the-answer/
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/business...g-forgive-them-their-debts-is-not-the-answer/
The Euro is the disadvantageous currency for almost all countries in the Eurozone, the currency suits only to the purposes of export-oriented economies like Germany and France.
Well after Brussels attack, brexit oddschecker is showing 89% for exit among varied betting sites
Bump
https://m.oddschecker.com/t/politic...referendum/referendum-on-eu-membership-result
Bump
https://m.oddschecker.com/t/politic...referendum/referendum-on-eu-membership-result
Erm, you might wanna check your arithmetic...
Why is it always so hard to make a longshot pay off?
lol no. Staying is paying 40% (2/5; -250 ML). Pay $250 to win $100. Meaning 71% likelihood of staying in EU (delimited, 71/100). The 89% is simply the action -- where the money is being placed. 9/10 bets are on the dog, to leave.
15/8 = +187.5 ($87.5 return on $100 wagered) if BE leaves. Nearly a double if you bet on the exit. 35% implied probability of BE exit (at the offer).
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The odds of Brexit are arnd 33% on Betfair... They have a handy tool which shows you the evolution of the odds with time:
https://www.betfair.com/exchange/#/politics/event/27442890/market?marketId=1.118739911
(Click on the little chart icon and then check the "Inverse axis" box)
https://www.betfair.com/exchange/#/politics/event/27442890/market?marketId=1.118739911
(Click on the little chart icon and then check the "Inverse axis" box)