Bond rally nearing an end?

[steveosborne]

Quote from BlueHorseshoe:

A pie can be sliced a million ways, no great insight there.

While these 10 year and 18 year charts only address a period with falling rates, I've found the general shape to still be informative:

http://www.spectrumcommodities.com/...y/charts/ty.htm

If you can find x <b>reasons</b> for x different ways of slicing the data, you will gain some insight about the possible catalysts that seemed to intrigue you.

 

[Voodoo-king]

Quote from landboy:

Not good CPI numbers for the longs today, bearish engulfing erases yesterdays gains, looks like it'd be premature for the Fed to pause...

If it's ever been a period where the fed could wish the CPI numbers was different from what they really are, I think it would be now. I think the fed wants to take short term rates as high as it possible can so that it has ammunition to fight the coming low-inflations/deflation environment due to reasons I’ve mentioned earlier in this tread. I don’t think the fed will be able to lift short term rates much more though, since I think this low inflation environment will come faster than people expect.

 

[newbunch]

Quote from newbunch:

I've been saying the same thing (and I am no doom and gloom person). The markets (stocks, bonds, commodities, real estate) were all liquidity driven upwards and now they'll all collapse.

Everything is down today. Stocks, bonds, gold, oil, dollar. Definitely liquidity driven.

 

[steveosborne]

Except for the dollar, which is up. We have the same environment right now we had Monday morning before bonds rallied.

Anybody who's not long? Here's another chance to get in.

 

[newbunch]

Quote from steveosborne:

Except for the dollar, which is up. We have the same environment right now we had Monday morning before bonds rallied.

Anybody who's not long? Here's another chance to get in.

You are right. My error. I forgot that the Euro/Dollar is backwards (down means the dollar is up). Thank God I don't trade currencies.

 

[steveosborne]

Quote from newbunch:

Thank God I don't trade currencies.

I also stay away from currencies. It's a game where the rules are constantly improvised, at least that's the way it looks to me.

 

[Surdo]

They are just letters and numbers to me!

I dabble in Euro Fx on extremes.

 

[steveosborne]

Do you scalp?

 

[Surdo]

I swing trade, I will "scalp" 50 Ticks if it happens fast.
EC is extremely liquid so you can get in and out in a second, if you chose to!

 

[Buy1Sell2]

Quote from Surdo:

I swing trade, I will "scalp" 50 Ticks if it happens fast.
EC is extremely liquid so you can get in and out in a second, if you chose to!

Currencies trend much better throughout the day and as Surdo says, it's very liquid especially Euro and Yen. Currency futures are my trade of choice, but of course like the notes as well. I'm not sure there is a better market where technicals work--although notes are good as well.