Bond rally nearing an end?

gharghur2 · Mar 26, 2006

Hey I didn't notice a tone

Yes, a line chart is a very good idea. TY

Should be a wild two days with the FED meeting starting tomorrow.

landboy · Mar 26, 2006

Quote from Buy1Sell2:

I apologize for my tone earlier. I didn't mean it to sound the way it did, when I read it back myself--Sorry

Water under the bridge... np... i forget what price i shorted at, i'd have to check my statements... i got squeezed when the Bund rallied a bit and then settled... I didn't want a gain to turn into a loss...

As for this time, I know i'm on a losing streak, so i'm trading small...

Dogfish · Mar 28, 2006

A nice graphical view of what the markets are pricing after this fed meeting and how recent data has affected it

http://macroblog.typepad.com/.shared/image.html?/photos/uncategorized/may_16.gif

Bernard111 · Mar 28, 2006

Quote from Dogfish:

A nice graphical view of what the markets are pricing after this fed meeting and how recent data has affected it

http://macroblog.typepad.com/.shared/image.html?/photos/uncategorized/may_16.gif

Can you please explain the chart?

Dogfish · Mar 28, 2006

It's the implied probability of what to expect for the May meeting and how recent data releases have altered this view. So the odds of rates being 5% have dropped slightly in favour of 4.75 after the existing home sales data, although barely.

Have a look at this link to see how the market was pricing for March, May and June comparitively on March 20th

http://macroblog.typepad.com/macroblog/2006/03/second_thoughts.html

and then as of yesterday here

http://macroblog.typepad.com/macroblog/2006/03/last_week_tim_d.html

gharghur2 · Mar 28, 2006

So far, it looks the same on the price charts, as those charts.

THX

steveosborne · Mar 28, 2006

I'm on the sideline and waiting to see if we'll get the kind of reassuring comments from the Fed to create a short rally.

gharghur2 · Mar 28, 2006

Hi Steve,

Bonds may be putting in a bottom here soon

Maybe with a spike low after the meeting?

Surdo · Mar 28, 2006

Great Charts!

How do you use them?

I prefer layman's stuff like RSI and MACD and my Apple indicator.
I am a meat and potato kinda guy.

Me likee Bonds down here as well, will look at 'em after meeting.

gharghur2 · Mar 28, 2006

Quote from Surdo:

Great Charts!

How do you use them?

I prefer layman's stuff like RSI and MACD and my Apple indicator.
I am a meat and potato kinda guy.

Me likee Bonds down here as well, will look at 'em after meeting.

I'm with you Surdo, couldn't figure out those charts either

I'll look again later though.