Geez a lot of sour grapes in this thread. No doubt BTC can (and will) lose 50-80% in the future (it just lost 50%). But its also true that objectively BTC has been the best performing asset maybe ever over the last decade. Both can be true
Being bearish BTC means saying the 200%/year over the last 12 years is just going to stop right now in its tracks ... why would that happen?
You can only judge that after you put all the money (as FIAT money) in the bank. As long as you don't sell your coins you have no idea where you will end. There are hodlers who were millionaire, but not anymore at/before the next crash.
99.9% of the BTC holders have never made that trip, nor the return.
Remove tethers and value would plummet like a rock
Eh disagree. This is effectively saying the money in any trading account isnt "real" bc there are open profits. Your worth is what the market says now.
True, fair enough. Doesn't change the fact that those are the statistics. Doesn't take a genius trader to extract profits on the upside with a tailwind like that.
It is more difficult then you think, if not you would be filthy rich as you would sell every top and buy every bottom. What if you take profit and BTC continues to go up fast? FOMO has a big impact on decisions to get in or out, and mostly leads to wrong timing.
The 200% per year for 12 years is based on buying and keep it 12 years. So even go thru every crash. How will you know when BTC will really go down? We had several crashes till over 80%. If BTC will ever crash and go to zero, how will you know that? It will look just like the other crashes except for the fact that it will be gamme over. Because that is essential to be sure that you took the profits at the right time.